It's a new year with new leaders emerging in the market. So what better time to drop in and chat with our friends over on Fox Business about what's going on.
Charles likes my Ratio charts so we took a look at some of those.
But I think the bigger point here is that Gold doesn't have to be this 'End of the world' trade that some make it out to be.
History has proven time and time again that Gold prices can rise, even during bull markets for stocks. And to be clear, Gold prices can also fall along with stocks.
They are not mutually exclusive.
Check out the full clip and let me know what you think!
We debuted a new scan which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.
All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us toward the very best stocks in the market. We have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base this time around. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.
We held our January Monthly Strategy Session Tuesday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
Benchmark rates in Germany, France, Spain, and Portugal hit fresh multi-year highs last week. Interestingly, the US 10-year yield did not. And neither did the two-, 5-, or 30-year yields.
I’m not claiming US yields have put in a lower high. It’s far too early to assume that. A downside resolution below last month’s pivot lows needs to materialize before making that claim.
Nevertheless, the lack of confirmation from US interest rates is intriguing, especially as European yields turn lower this week.
Check out the triple-pane chart of Developed European 10-year yields (Germany, France, and Spain):
All three broke above their respective Oct. highs, finishing 2022 on a high note. But those breakouts were short-lived as yields are sliding lower this week.
The lackluster moves from European yields suggest...
The new year can bring the hope of a better market environment. While it can be tempting to draw conclusions about all of 2023 from how December closed and January has begun, we would counsel patience. One lesson from 2022 is that normally reliable indicators of strength can be distorted in elevated volatility environments. The evidence has not improved and caution remains warranted. The liquidity environment remains poor, last year’s pattern of lower lows and lower highs is intact and the trend in the net new high data has not improved. Across asset classes, and both in the US and around the world, uptrends are hard to find. Gold, though, is starting to shine.
Our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard fills in the details and includes a few charts that have our attention heading into 2023.
Ok, that question answers itself. Of course you have. We all have.
For our purposes today, I’m more specifically focused on the periods when we resist something that deep down we know would be good for us. Or the right thing to do. Or the intelligent thing to do. Or the helpful thing to do.
When nothing but goodness can result from taking a specific action, why do we resist it? Why do we willingly sabotage ourselves like that?
Author Steven Pressfield in his bestselling book...
Another Santa Claus Rally is officially in the books.
This year the S&P500 rallied 0.80% during the period, which is more than 3 times the historical returns for all the other 7 day periods throughout the year.