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$100,000 Bitcoin Next

March 25, 2024

What we're seeing happening in Bitcoin right now is demand trying to absorb the overwhelming amount of supply that there is up at these prices.

We know from prior attempts a couple of years ago that just below 70,000, there is more selling pressure than buying pressure.

It's just math, there has been more supply than demand at these prices.

Here's what Bitcoin looks like over time:

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Bull Market Consolidations

March 24, 2024

Last week, we discussed the high likelihood that crypto markets undergo a period of consolidation. With Bitcoin testing resistance at the former all-time highs, the longer-term technical view would seem to suggest that this is a logical area to see this consolidation take place.

To Squeeze or To Be Squeezed

March 23, 2024

There is a time and a place for everything in this market.

One of the more fascinating groups of stocks for me right now (and always for that matter) is when a stock has a very high short interest, and is making new highs.

You see, here's what many people fail to remember:

Short sellers are promising to be buyers in the future. Shareholders are only promising to be sellers.

And so what that means to us is that the more short sellers there are in a given stock, the more investors there are promising to buy the stock in the future.

In their view, they would ideally like to buy these stocks back at lower prices (for a profit).

But what happens instead, in many cases, is that they are forced to cover at much higher prices (for massive losses).

And that's where we come in.

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Soybeans Look Ripe For a Rally

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are in the early innings of a secular bull run.

The list of raw materials hitting all-time highs since 2020 includes Gold, Copper, Wheat, Soybean Oil, Cattle,  Orange Juice, Cocoa, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Palm Oil, Lumber, Tin, Rebar, Iron Ore, and Coal. (If that roll call doesn’t scream commodity supercycle, I don’t know what does.) 

It’s an exhaustive list that will only grow in the coming years. Remember, these cycles can last decades. We’re only in year four!

Of course, there are also some laggards amongst the ranks. (ahem, Crude). But don’t lose sight of the bigger picture! 

Even Soybeans are queuing up for new all-time highs…

Check out soybean futures zoomed out to the 1950s:

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Freshly Squeezed Report

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

The animal spirits have returned to equity markets near you!

How do we know?

Take a look around...

Biotechs are putting the finishing touches on a massive base, suggesting a new bull market for these stocks is underway.

Speculative growth indexes like the suite of ARK ETFs are completing (or have already completed) trend reversals.

The Renaissance IPO fund is at its highest level since early 2022.

A growing list of emerging markets countries (outside of China) are making new highs.

Cryptocurrencies are mooning every night while we're sleeping.

Participation is broadening to new groups like materials, and funds are flowing back into energy and financials again.

The most-hated and lowest-quality stocks in the market are catching a serious bid.

So, what do we do?

This is the optimal market environment for our Freshly Squeezed universe.

The idea behind this one is to find the stocks that bears are betting against the most and take the opposite side as they squeeze higher.

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The Hall of Famers (03-22-2024)

March 22, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps around $3T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Arista Networks and Airbnb.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

All Star Options

[Options Premium] This Hundred-Dolla-Roll Might Happen Fast

March 22, 2024

Today's trade comes in a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies. Sexy, right?

Ok, maybe not. But the fact that the stock has been in a steady uptrend since November, is making new all-time highs, and has a "hundred-dolla-roll" in its sight certainly makes it very attractive to me.

 

Clifford Sosin Reports a $5 Million CDLX Buy

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Clifford A. Sosin, founder and investment manager of CAS Investment Partners LLC.

Sosin reported the acquisition of 350,000 shares, equivalent to $4,956,035 in Cardlytics Inc $CDLX.

Finding Winners & Losers

March 22, 2024

There are winning stocks that keep on winning.

That's what happens in Bull Markets.

But let's just keep in mind that this year is NOT last year, despite the fact that we're still in the midst of an ongoing bull market.

There are stocks falling apart underneath the surface. And there's money being made on the short side.

That wasn't the case in 2023, and especially not from the biggest most important companies.

Take Apple, for instance, down another 4% yesterday. $AAPL closed at the lowest levels relative to the S&P500 since 2021.

All Star Charts Gold Rush

Soybeans Look Ripe For a Rally

March 22, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are in the early innings of a secular bull run.

The list of raw materials hitting all-time highs since 2020 includes Gold, Copper, Wheat, Soybean Oil, Cattle,  Orange Juice, Cocoa, Heating Oil, Gasoline, Palm Oil, Lumber, Tin, Rebar, Iron Ore, and Coal. (If that roll call doesn’t scream commodity supercycle, I don’t know what does.) 

It’s an exhaustive list that will only grow in the coming years. Remember, these cycles can last decades. We’re only in year four!

Of course, there are also some laggards amongst the ranks. (ahem, Crude). But don’t lose sight of the bigger picture! 

Even Soybeans are queuing up for new all-time highs…

Check out soybean futures zoomed out to the 1950s: