Chart Summit 2018 is finally here. We could not be more excited for this event after the unbelievable experience we had last year! In January of 2017, I called up a bunch of my smartest friends and put on the first ever 100% virtual conference on Technical Analysis, and it was FREE! We had over 10,000 attendees from over 100 different countries. The feedback I received immediately after the event was like nothing I had ever seen before. I couldn't believe it.
If you missed last year's event, you can still watch the videos of those presentations here and I highly encourage you to do so. We had traders like Peter Brandt, Brian Shannon and Joe Fahmy explaining their approach and best ideas. Top Wall Street Analysts like Ari Wald, Jonathan Krinsky and legend Gail Dudack showed the world how they look at markets and what sorts of things they were showing their buy side customers at the time.
When an asset class is in a bull market, it not only goes up in value, but it also outperforms other asset classes. So it's not just about the absolute performance, but about the relative performance as well. When stocks are going up, they'll outperform things Bonds or Gold, for example. In emerging stock markets, it's no different. When stocks in India are outperforming US Stocks, that is when I consider the bull market to be in full stride.
Today I want to point to an important development in the NIFTY50 relative the S&P500. This is how we can see if stocks in India are in a real uptrend, or just a market rising with the tide.
All-time highs across the board in Small-caps these days. Some are in shock. I personally just don't understand why stocks that are in uptrends going up is anything outside of perfectly normal? I would argue that any other result is what we should consider unusual. If the market teaches us one thing is that trends are much more likely to continue than to completely reverse.
In September I put out a post about small-caps breaking out of year long bases. If you recall, at the time, the sentiment around the market was about how high stocks were and how they could not go much further. My argument at that point was the exact opposite. Small-cap stocks had done nothing for an entire year. To suggest the stock market was too stretched was irresponsible, in my opinion. Not only did we want to be long stocks, we wanted to be "very aggressively long" equities.
This week has been an incredible experience in India! If you had the chance to make it to my presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday I really do appreciate you coming. I may be the one presenting my thoughts on local markets, but trust me, I'm the one winning at the end. The conversations and interactions with traders here has been extremely eye opening and educational. This is how I learn - by talking with people smarter than I am. It's not hard to find that around here. So from the bottom of my heart, thank you!
Many of you have asked for the slide deck from the presentation so here you go:
This week has been an incredible experience in India! If you had the chance to make it to my presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday I really do appreciate you coming. I may be the one presenting my thoughts on local markets, but trust me, I'm the one winning at the end. The conversations and interactions with traders here has been extremely eye opening and educational. This is how I learn - by talking with people smarter than I am. It's not hard to find that around here. So from the bottom of my heart, thank you!
Many of you have asked for the slide deck from the presentation so here you go:
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
We've been extremely bullish towards US and Global Stocks as they remain in strong uptrends on any sort of intermediate-term time horizon. I still think this is an environment where we need to be buying weakness in stocks, not selling strength. The weight of the evidence is still pointing to an increased amount of risk appetite, not risk aversion. We will go over a multi-timeframe approach on this conference call where we will start with the longer-term and then work our way down to more short-term to intermediate-term investing ideas. This will also include other assets like the US Dollar, Euro, Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Interest Rates.
It's a new year and we're already starting to see brand new trends emerging. One area that I've preferred to stay away from for a long time has been the energy and natural resource space, which just so happen to be 2 of my favorite areas to be long heading into 2018. Today I want to point out the major reversal in Natural Gas stocks that I believe will catch many by surprise as we progress into the first quarter and likely beyond.
Natural Gas stocks? When was the last time you heard me talk about those?? There is a time and a place for everything. We've discussed the relative strength in Energy stocks as a group lately and have pointed out some interesting opportunities, particularly in the Oil Refinery space, Valero especially. That has worked very well in our favor the past few months.
But moving forward I think there are some extremely favorable risk vs reward scenarios within the Natural Gas stocks as well as all of them as a group.
We're finally here! Allstarcharts India is now available to everyone and anyone interested in the share market of India. This has been one of the most incredible experiences of my life - learning about Indian markets, the people and the culture. I am currently here in Delhi and will also be traveling to Mumbai to both celebrate the new launch and to continue my pursuit of knowledge and experience. I will be giving a live presentation at Bloomberg in Mumbai Thursday January 11th and you can register for that here if it's not already filled up.
