Last night was our Live Video Conference Call that I host for Premium Members every month. We went over the entire global macro landscape and then drilled down to individual stocks that I think are the best vehicles to profit in the current environment.
One of the areas we continue to like, and continues to pay well, is Internet Retail. The relative strength and positive momentum coming out of these stocks has been off the charts for months.
A nice clean setup in the space is Peloton. I like how prices have been consolidating below their 161.8% extension and ready for their next leg higher:
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
Earlier this month we launched our NEW Charting School, which includes 7 Lessons, about 6 hours of content and approximately 175 Quiz questions in total throughout the course.
The feedback we've received has been so good that we want to make sure that everyone can get access to it
Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Last week was a big one for the bears as most risk-assets sold off aggressively to end the week after a strong start.
Many major Indexes in both International and Domestic Equity Markets printed bearish island reversal patterns, most of which occurred at logical levels of overhead supply. Read our post about it here.
We also just wrote about how the market's secular leaders are holding up best since market internals peaked about two weeks ago. We're going to use our US Index and Sector tables below to highlight the noteworthy relative strength from these areas amid the recent market weakness.
Let's take it from the top and begin with our US Index ETF table.
If you believe the longer-term uptrend is still in tact, then you have to love opportunities to buy on the dip during market pullbacks.
And the best place to look for these dips is in the strongest sectors that have been leading us higher since the depths of March. The software sector is in my sights today.
A lot of our focus in the Commodity space has been around Gold/Silver and Base Metals, and rightfully so as those have been trending well, but there are now several interesting setups in the Agriculture space.
In this post, we're exploring some emerging opportunities amongst the less widely-followed Commodities.
First, let's take a look at Rapeseed Mustard, which is a great example of how quickly these assets can move once they get going. Not only does this highlight the profit potential, but also the importance of risk management and respecting stops when things head in the wrong direction.
When stocks as an asset class are in a strong uptrend, or "bull market" as some like to call it, they don't just perform well on an absolute basis, but they also tend to outperform their alternatives. Two perfectly good alternatives to owning stocks are Bonds and Precious Metals.
As you can see in this chart, in early March the S&P500 broke key support relative to both US Treasury Bonds and Gold. All of that former support since 2018 "should" turn into resistance, based on our polarity principles.
Since global markets are highly correlated, it's important to understand what's happening in Equities around the world before we get into what's happening in India's major indexes and individual stocks.
This week's talk of the town in the Technical Analysis community is the "Island Reversal", and rightfully so, as some of the world's strongest indexes are sporting this pattern.
Let's take a look and get into what it could mean for the days/weeks ahead.
Two weeks ago I wrote about the downside resolutions in Treasuries and Yen and the questions we would be asking in the days following. Given their rallies in the last week, we continue to ask those questions and observe what messages these "safe haven" assets are sending about the market.
This week's talk of the town is the "Island Reversal", and rightfully so, as some of the world's strongest indexes are sporting this pattern.
Let's take a look and get into what it could mean for the days/weeks ahead.