Welcome to this week's edition of "Under The Hood." You can read more about the column here.
What we do is analyze the most popular Robinhood stocks over the trailing week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
This week we have a handful of trade ideas on the long side, many of which belong to the Health Care space and are working on Covid-19 vaccines.
We'll also walk through a number of mega-cap bellwethers and get a feel for what's going on in that space.
The stock market has been going crazy again this week, and maybe it's beginning to rub off on me... We usually only share about 10 charts in this post, but there is just too much going on in these names so I went a little crazy myself in looking through the charts for this week's post. We ended up with 14. Let's dive into it!
Here is this week's list of most popular stocks, measured by net increases in Robinhood accounts that hold shares.
Another quick little update on the NKLA position we put on a couple weeks ago.
Our patience from our original entry timing has paid off, and the directional move we were playing for has happened. $NKLA has traded down to our target price of $35.
JC's been pounding the table to me about Abbott Labs $ABT for a couple weeks now.
I've been slow playing it, waiting for some new highs. We're getting them now. It's time to get involved.
The base $ABT formed over the last three months is a thing of beauty. And the fact that it's in a hot sector and printing new all-time highs is only sweetener. Then when you add in the fact that options premiums are at the lowest levels since March and I'm starting to get pretty excited.
I don't prefer getting long stocks that aren't breaking through to some kind of major new high or an all-time high. But every so often the stars align to play for the end of a major downtrend with some clearly defined levels of support to lean against.
We're finding that right now in the recently maligned Marijuana stocks space.
This time, we're looking for stocks displaying long-term trends of absolute momentum and relative strength...and we're buying them.
Let's get into the charts.
Here's Canadian national Railway going out at all-time highs last week. From a structural perspective, this signals the continuation of the stock's long-term uptrend and indicates a target up towards 160. If you want to keep your risk management tight, then 128 is the level, but if you want to give it more room then this thesis remains intact if prices are above 120.
In early May we outlined the "Five Bull Market Barometers" we're watching to identify the beginning of a new bull market in stocks.
If you haven't read our initial post linked above, we'd encourage you to check it out so you understand what the rationale behind these five indicators is.
Now, let's see where these indicators ended the week.
Historically, new 52-week lows are not a characteristic of an uptrend. These are things we see when the asset in question is under pressure. With the Dollar Index continuing to sell-off, what are some of the broader implications?
We haven't taken a look at the Marijuana sector in a while, so today I'm going to review where the sector stands on an absolute and relative basis...and which stocks we're buying (if any).
Normally I'd have a pun or two here, but I've decided to take the high road and focus solely on the charts this time.
First, let's start at the index level with the Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ). prices gapped below our price objective at 12.60 earlier in the year, consolidated for two months, and then gapped back above it...forming an "island reversal" bottom on the weekly chart.
Click on chart to enlarge view.
Since then, prices have successfully retested support multiple times, so it would appear the bias is higher towards 22 as long as we're above 12.60.