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Commodities Weekly (04-16-2021)

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Are Commodities poised for their next leg higher?

After weeks of sideways chop, we're beginning to see signs of strength that suggest an upside move is brewing.

Here’s some notable action: 

  • Copper is resolving higher from a tight continuation pattern within the context of a primary uptrend
  • Steel is again breaking higher from a quick coil pattern after making a parabolic move to record highs off last year’s lows
  • Aluminum is next in line as it works its way higher within a massive consolidation
  • Lumber continues to post new all-time highs day in and day out
  • Other markets like Sugar and Wheat have found support at logical levels and look ready to resume higher

I think you get the idea...

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[Premium] Taking Portfolios To The Next Frontier

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

It's been a long time coming...

Public investors finally have opportunities to gain exposure to the exciting new Space Exploration industry.

We've seen a handful of new pure-play Space IPOs and SPACs hit the market this year. Most recently one of our favorite fund managers, ARK Invest joined the party and launched their own thematic Space ETF, $ARKX.

There's obviously a ton of hype surrounding this emerging theme right now. But is this industry, in its current form, worth investors' time?

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

April 16, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

There was plenty of positive economic data this week, but the bounce in residential construction activity really caught my eye. This tends to be a leading indicator for the economy overall. Housing starts were particularly strong in March, surging to their highest level since 2006. This probably isn’t too much of a surprise for those who have been watching Lumber build on last year’s gains and move to new all-time highs this week. Not that I was trying to do channel checks during my break last week, but I did notice plenty of trucks on the road headed North and loaded with lumber and logs as I drove through Kentucky, Tennessee, and Alabama (though they are not yet to the point of traveling in convoys surrounded by a security detail).

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[Options Premium] Flip Phone Memories

April 16, 2021

I have fond memories of my very first cellular phone in 1995. I was still in college and had a "job" selling advertising for the local arts & entertainment newspaper in town. One of the perks of the job was having a cellphone so I could be reached at any time.

In 1995, having a flip phone (that barely fit in my pocket), was pretty cool. Or at least I thought I was...

I'm headed down this nostalgic lane thanks to today's trade idea.

 

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2 To 100 Club (04-15-2021)

April 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

[Video] BNN Bloomberg: Stocks, Ethereum and Lumber

April 15, 2021

Last night I popped into BNN Bloomberg to talk about what's going on in the market.

We're seeing new highs across a lot of major indexes, but what's happening underneath the surface?

We've been seeing the price of lumber soaring along with things like Steel and Rebar futures. It's the whole demand/building/growth theme that continues to stand out.

One thing that's definitely worth watching is the All Country World Index Ex-U.S., which is basically a snapshot of what the rest of the world looks like. And you'll notice that the index ETF $ACWX is stuck right between its 2008 highs and 2018 highs.

This puts the global stock market in quite a predicament. If you're bullish equities, you're going to want to see a breakout through those historic 2008 highs. If you're bearish equities, this is one you want to see break back below those 2018 highs.

Check out the video in full. This was fun:

The Outperformers

April 15, 2021

We debuted a new scan recently- The Outperformers.

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: Context Matters

April 15, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We were cooped up all winter, so we decided to head south. 

As soon as the kids got out of school for spring break, we loaded up the car, left Milwaukee, and headed for the Gulf of Mexico. 

It was a long trip -- and I had plenty of time to think along the way. In a world of momentum and trends, we want to remember where we’re coming from so we can better understand where we’re going.