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[Premium] Q1 Playbook

April 26, 2021

As we progress into Q1 of Fiscal Year 2021-2022, this playbook outlines our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit.

This playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates, as well as outline our views on the major nifty indices and the sector/thematic indices.

We also cover individual stocks we want to be buying to take advantage of the themes discussed in the playbook.

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

April 26, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Top 10 report was just published. In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.

The Growth Vs Value Cheat Code

We’ve pounded the table about that 1.70 level being the line in the sand for the relative trend in Growth vs Value. If we’re below there - which we believe we’re likely to remain, then we want to continue to be overweight Value and cyclicals. If the ratio decisively reclaims this level then we’ll have to rethink our entire thesis, along with that of a new Commodities Supercycle. But, that’s not the bet we’re making at all.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

April 25, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the context of the big picture and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.

Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

Macro:

Young Aristocrats: Special Edition (04-24-2021)

April 24, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

As many of you know, we run A LOT of scans here at All Star Charts. In fact, I gave a presentation about them this past weekend at Chart Summit which you can rewatch here.

In this post, we're going to share a free trade idea from our Young Aristocrats list which is one of my absolute favorites of all the various bottoms-up scans I regularly run.

The rationale behind the list and corresponding monthly column is to catch strong stocks when they are still in the early stages of their dividend growth phase* in hopes that by doing so, we'll be buying some of the future Dividend Aristocrats...

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

April 24, 2021

This week we're looking at a long setup in the Metal sector. There are a handful of sectors that are outperforming the market as Nifty 50 continues to move sideways, and Metal has been a consistent name there.

Chart Summit Videos Are Up!

April 23, 2021

I hope you all enjoyed attending Chart Summit as much as I enjoyed hosting it!

I must say, I'm still amazed that we were able to pull that off, and I couldn't be more proud of the team behind me and the presenters virtually alongside me, who helped make it all possible.

A lot of you have reached out wondering how you can view the replays of last weekend's presentations. And well, the wait is over!

All the presentations have been archived and posted at ChartSummit.com. As a heads up, you will be required to register to the site to access the replays, which is a quick and simple process. Don't worry.

All Star Charts Premium

Commodities Weekly (04-23-2021)

April 23, 2021

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Pockets of strength are once again emerging within the Commodity space.

We pointed out that both the CRB Index and the ASC EW33 Commodity Index were breaking above key resistance levels, pointing to a burgeoning upside move last week.

That upside move has now materialized!

We saw Industrial Metals -- including Copper, Steel, and Aluminum -- continue to follow-through as they grind higher. 

But this week’s biggest moves came from the Agricultural Commodities.

Let’s take a look at the recent strength in Ags using our custom ASC Equally-weighted Agriculture Index.

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

April 23, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

This week marked the anniversary of Oil busting the theory that there is firm support at $0. Oil is currently trading around $62/bbl, which puts its $100 higher than where it closed on April 20, 2020 (-$38/bbl). Our custom equal-weight commodity index (which is 15% energy and 24% industrials metals, versus 39% & 13%, respectively, in the CRB index) continues to power higher, eclipsing not only its early 2021 peak but the 2012-2014 peaks as well. While Lumber gets a lot of headlines for making new highs - strength in commodities is much broader than that. While this may lead to some concern about rising inflationary pressures, it also says positive things about global growth and the prospects for global equities. You don’t need to be a commodity trader to appreciate & benefit from the current strength in commodities.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] The OTHER Computer Maker

April 23, 2021

Believe it or not, it's not just Apple that makes desktop and laptop computers. I know, some of the newer generations of consumers may be shocked to learn this.

But way back in the Before Times, there was another computer maker that dominated the consumer space and invented novel ways to deliver them to consumers.

These days, they are a long way from the mass market dominance they once enjoyed, but investors in the stock are enjoying the fruits of a resurgence.

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: How I “Discovered” Momentum

April 22, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

I recently came across a conversation about momentum…

I was excited when I first saw it -- but disappointed when it didn't actually go anywhere.

Okay that's a joke. But I did see a momentum discussion. This time, it went somewhere. It even got me thinking about my own experience with momentum when it comes to making investment decisions.

Here's the story: 

Someone on Twitter asked whether momentum investing had a godfather of sorts, an established voice that lends an air of respectability to a discipline. Think about Warren Buffett (and before him, Graham & Dodd) with respect to value investing. There were interesting comments in the thread that followed the initial post and I saw more than a few references to Cliff Asness and the work he has done at AQR. While acknowledging the work he has done with respect to momentum as a strategy, Asness himself referenced several academics who have written on the subject over the past few decades.