We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.
All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to generate great returns.
While we go through our lists of sectors and stocks on a weekly basis, we thought of launching a product that would highlight the names that are the strongest performers in our universe and those that are primed for an explosive move.
Just like The Outperformers scan, this is a list of stocks belonging to the sectors that display relative strength in the market at any given point in time. Since sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market, we will be ahead of the curve before the gears keep shifting.
Key takeaway: Amid the economic optimism that is seen in surveys and magazine covers, the stock market is experiencing an unwinding in speculative excesses that has just begun. This shift in risk appetite makes a healthy sentiment reset like we saw in March a less likely outcome this time around. More probably is that we are moving from excessive optimism to some meaningful degree of pessimism. This is the area of the sentiment curve when price is most vulnerable to correction. With upside economic surprises waning and near-term breadth trends more mixed, the choppy environment of the past few weeks could not only persist, but even intensify.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Magazine Covers
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
One of the most frustrating questions plaguing investors at the moment is... "How long will this choppy environment last?"
And one question we’re asking internally is… “What is with all these mixed signals!?”
Once the latter clears itself up, we'll have our answer to the former... But not until then.
When the outlook becomes increasingly murky, the best action is to take a step back, let the smoke clear, and weigh each new piece of evidence as it becomes available.
For now, the most important evidence we have is our list of risk-on commodities and equity indexes testing critical levels of interest grows larger by the day.
There seems to be no end in sight. Complicating matters further, we’re actually seeing this kind of price action throughout the risk asset landscape. It's not isolated to a single asset class or region. We're seeing it in Stocks, Bonds, Commodities, and even Currency Markets... and not just in the US, but also abroad.
Key Takeaway: Investors finding themselves with too much Technology exposure. Speculative unwind occurring as neglected areas of the market make new highs. Inflation concerns are overdone in the near term but represent a new reality for the coming decade.
A few of my readers have pinged me privately drawing my attention to an Oil & Gas sector name that could possible make for a good "catch up" trade in the space. I generally would rather play in the leaders, rather than hope for the laggards to catch up, but I've been observing the price action from a safe distance after the ASC team put out a bullish idea in this name during their Monthly Charts Strategy Session a couple weeks back.
I like the way it put in a hard reversal last week and it's giving me some comfort to get in now with calls options priced pretty affordably.
Welcomeback to our latest "Under The Hood” column for the week ended May 14, 2021. This column is published bi-weekly and rotated on-and-off with our Minor Leaguers column.
In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Our Top 10 report was just published. In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
Will Bonds Follow The Path Of Bullion
A few weeks ago, we put out what you could call a “lower conviction” trade idea in Gold Miners. The reason we did this was simple and boiled down to two things: 1. The risk/reward profile; and 2. The primary trend. The prior was simply too good to ignore as price tested a formidable level of former resistance turned support. And this was taking place within the context of an underlying uptrend. Fast forward to today, and that trade has worked out beautifully (see lower pane).
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
You can consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes as well as discuss the most important themes and developments taking place in markets all around the world.
While the weight of the evidence remains in the bull's favor, we continue to see more data arrive that suggests the environment could be shifting toward one that is less conducive to risk assets, at least over shorter timeframes.
Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.
By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. We can then put these near-term developments into the context of the big picture and glean insights into the structural trends at play.
Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:
* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.
