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[Premium] Trade Of The Week

October 17, 2021

This week we’re looking at a long setup in the Financial and Metal sector. We're seeing new all-time highs in financial & metal sector indices and thought of taking a look at a stock that's ripe for a bullish move.

Let's take a look at this stock.

What Bubble?

October 17, 2021

I agreed to give a presentation Saturday morning about Crypto Currencies.

But if you've seen me walk through my charts in the past, you know I have a hard time sticking to one asset class.

If we're talking about stocks, how can we do that without talking about the bond market?

If we're talking about Commodities, how can we have a serious conversation without including interest rates?

And if we're talking about Crypto Currencies, how can we not include the bank stocks with Crypto exposure, who are benefiting from both rising crypto prices AND rising interest rates?

Well, that's what happened Saturday morning.

A conversation that was supposed to be about Crypto, turns into an all out blitz of rising asset prices due to an asset shortage that we're seeing worldwide.

The reason risk assets are going up in price has nothing to do with the economy, or...

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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Risk Assets Soaring

October 16, 2021

It's Saturday Morning Chartoons time. 

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

You can find the whole list of trades here.

Below you'll find the full PDF of this week's charts:

 

 

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International Hall Of Famers (10-15-2021)

October 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall Of Famers list is composed of the 50 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more -- but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the big US names on our original Hall Of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the 50 largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive in and take a look at what some of the largest stocks around the world are doing.

Here’s this week’s list:

And here’s how we arrived at it...

  • We filtered out any names that...
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Confirmation From Dr. Copper

October 15, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley

Copper was a critical piece missing from the intermarket puzzle heading into the fourth quarter.

Just last week, copper was testing year-to-date lows and looking vulnerable for a downside break. Meanwhile, energy futures and interest rates were rising, and cyclical and value stocks were getting back in gear.

The mixed signals were impossible to ignore. It’s not likely that the recent breakouts in crude oil and the US 10-year yield would hold in an environment where copper is breaking down.

Dr. Copper is a great leading economic indicator and critical to the global growth narrative. Let’s see what it’s saying.

Here are two ways we were looking at the copper chart:

We were wondering whether this was a major head-and-shoulders top or just a continuation pattern that would...

[PLUS] Weekly Observations & One Chart for the Weekend

October 15, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

If there is something to know about me when it comes to the market, it’s this: When I have a chance to talk about the Value Line Geometric Index, I don’t let it pass. The Value Line index is still a smidge further below its June high than the S&P 500 is from its September high, and the Value Line index has not (yet) re-claimed the lead on a YTD return basis. But over the past month, it has provided some leadership, showing the S&P 500-based indexes the path through the 50-day average. While the cap-weight index (SPY) has changed little over the past month, the equal-weight index (RSP) is up nearly 2% and the Value Line index is up more than 3%. I continue to believe that will be the theme of the fourth quarter.

Breadth Thrusts & Bread Crusts: The Fruits of Our Labor

October 14, 2021

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

It's mid-October and things are winding down in the garden. 

The greens have perked up as the weather has turned cooler. But attempts to ripen a few final tomatoes as the summer heat fades and the sun spends less and less time above the horizon is like waiting for Godot.

With peak garden season slowing down, I have enough time (and thyme) on my hands to reflect on what went well, and what went awry.

Gold: Don't Call It A Comeback!

October 13, 2021

Those angry little gold buggers are finally starting to put some points on the board.

The lack of participation in Gold since last Spring has been something to witness. Every commodity on earth has skyrocketed, except for gold and other precious metals.

My argument is that maybe it's behaved that way because it's not a commodity. Maybe it's more of a currency, something I've always argued.

Right or wrong, call it whatever you want, it has done poorly since last summer of 2020.

And with the Dollar as strong as it's been, Gold has really taken a beating.

But not lately....

Can we call it a comeback?

You see, with new highs in the US Dollar this month, Gold did NOT make new lows. That bullish divergence is the first sign of life we've seen out of this thing for a while.

Here we're looking at the...