We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.
All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us towards the very best stocks in the market. This time around, we have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.
As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!
One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Key Takeaway: Renewed selling pressure brings an air of disappointment rather than fear. Lackluster price action, an absence of a meaningful breadth thrust, and an overall risk-off environment leave little to spark an optimistic outlook. We’ve seen bears from a survey perspective, and that has created the conditions for a rally. Now, we need to see an increase in bulls if a rally is to materialize into a bull market. Without a rebound in price it’s hard for bulls to get excited and a v-shaped recovery in optimism (like we saw in 2019 and 2020) becomes less likely.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Reversing From An Extreme
Yes, it's tricky both tactically and mentally to get long in the stock market right now. One look at the broader indexes would give any rookie market technician pause.
That said, there are still pockets of strength that are working and growing stronger --- both on a relative and an absolute basis. Which, by the way, is not uncommon. Even in the most vicious bear markets, there are often certain sectors that see gains. And so a bear market may force us to be more selective when searching for bullish bets, but the opportunities are there for those willing to do the work.
With that in mind, today's trade is one of those names that is thriving in this current market environment.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
The turmoil in equity markets has stolen all the attention since last year. But stocks aren't the only asset class that's a mess. We're getting the same kind of mixed signals and sloppy price action from forex markets.
While stocks remain under pressure, currencies have been throwing head fakes and dishing out whipsaws all year long. The AUD/USD broke to fresh nine-month highs just last week only to reverse 200 pips by Friday’s close.
We're seeing this type of action from currencies all over the world. It’s hard to trust a breakout these days. As frustrating as these failed moves may be, there are some clean chart patterns and favorable setups shaping up right now.
One area where the trend is very clear is the Japanese yen. Just about anything priced in Yen has been rallying recently as the currency continues to collapse.
Today, we’re going to highlight the massive base in the USD/JPY.
Yesterday we documented how we're shifting back to our defensive strategy. Tight trading correlations to weak equities dictate this approach.
At the same time, we've been stopped out of most altcoin long positions.
There's little to discuss in the way of tactical trading opportunities.
Even the strongest names can't get it done when we look at the alts. We're seeing many failed breakouts, and there's little to like in shorter time frames right now.
Lack of follow through evident beneath the surface
Risk Off Environment persists
Defensives gain strength while Value & Growth stumble
Last month’s equity market bounce was impressive at the moment. But it has failed to produce the sort of strength that argues in favor of a broadly-based “risk on” environment. Short-term upside surges have not been followed by breadth thrusts in our work. Despite a handful of days in which new highs outnumbered new lows, it has not been consistent. We are now at 20 consecutive weeks of more new lows than new highs and our 10-day net new high advance/decline line has been falling since November. Our weight of the evidence dashboard suggests a cautious approach remains warranted.
Energy is dominating the market sector conversation these days. And well, you can see a reflection of that in the stocks and the strength coming through.
Today we're here to discuss a long setup in the Energy space.