In the All Star Charts recent Monthly Charts Strategy Session, JC highlighted a bunch of stocks that have held levels that feel significant.
And since we've seen a lot of damage to bullish charts in recent weeks, the best bets on the board right now appear in stocks that have held up better than the rest.
One mining stock that held up well after hot money ran for the exits is Newmont Corporation $NEM.
The largest insider transaction on today's list comes to us in a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A.
Buffett continues to grow his position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY. He just revealed an additional purchase that brings his total ownership to 226 million shares, representing a 12.15% interest.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
While most uptrends have come under pressure in 2022, the US dollar has remained as strong as any.
This dollar strength, particularly at the index level, is nothing new. We've been discussing it.
It's been taking place all year, driven by the major pairs such as the euro, the yen, and the pound.
However, something new is the burgeoning strength beneath the surface, even outside of the big developed market currencies. We've been seeing dollar internals improve drastically in recent weeks.
And now we're seeing momentum accelerate for the US Dollar Index $DXY. Today, DXY is on track for its largest single-day gain since the pandemic crash more than two years ago.
All of the evidence suggests this dollar strength is the real deal.
Let's talk about what it means and how we want to position for it.
Here's the US Dollar Index ripping to its highest level in almost 20 years:
The US Dollar Index $DXY is ripping to its highest level in 20 years today.
We just covered this dollar strength and what it means in our Currency Report, which you can read here.
We talk about the implications of a stronger dollar on risk assets, particularly stocks.
While this rally in the dollar is definitely not a good thing for stocks in the US or abroad, we see these intermarket relationships dislocate all the time.
Could stocks and the dollar rally higher together? Sure! Commodities and the dollar have already been doing this for several quarters now...
I had a great time in DC last week, first for some dedicated time with the All Star Charts team that is normally dispersed all over the world, and later at the CMT Symposium itself. There was good food and drink and great conversations – in larger settings and small.
As great as the presentations were overall, I often found myself chewing on asides and tidbits more than the large macro points. For me, the key insights were more about process and less about conclusions. Maybe that’s not surprising. Conclusions come and go based on market conditions. But process and approach should be consistent (though not immune from the refiner’s fire). I think Tyler Wood said it best last week, “We’re not predicting the future, just reacting responsibly.”
Things I picked up last week that I want to hold on to:
We couldn't help but notice the relentless bid in Bitcoin $BTC yesterday morning while equities had a flat start. Leading up to the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin front-ran the rally in US equities.
The two have been heavily correlated in recent months; evaluating the co-movement between the two is proving to be an insightful data point for stock and crypto investors alike.
We're doing something a little bit different today.
I'm thrilled to welcome my friend Justin Paterno, Portfolio Manager of the new OSPREY NFT Fund.
Whenever I have questions about NFTs, Justin is the one I turn to. In fact, a lot of my friends go to Justin with questions about NFTs.
So in this episode, I chat with Justin about all things NFTs, different "sectors" of NFTs, the future of NFTs, the price analysis aspects of NFTs and Web 3.0, and all the things that come along with those, good or bad.
I personally own a bunch of NFTs, and I have a funny feeling I will own a lot more in the coming decades. Therefore, it's probably a good idea that we get a better understanding of them.
This was a lot of fun and a nice break from all the other asset classes that we're always talking about.
When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.
Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.
We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.
The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too.
We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics.
Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.