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No New Highs. So What?

June 16, 2024

On Friday you saw the highest weekly close for the S&P500 in history.

Do you know how many stocks on the entire NYSE closed at a new 52-week high?

12.

Meanwhile in ETF land, the Nasdaq100 $QQQ and S&P500 $SPY hit new all-time highs on Friday, but we also saw fresh 6-week lows for the NYSE Advance-Decline line. It was also a new 6-month low for the Nasdaq Advance-Decline line, for those keeping score at home.

Here's a chart of all the S&P Sectors on an equally-weighted basis over the past 15 weeks. Consumer Discretionary has been the worst. Utilities have been the best by far.

You'll notice that the Equally-weighted S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have made no progress or are down during this period.

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Commodities: Hunting for an Uncorrelated Trade

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’m avoiding the US dollar and interest rate chopfest.

That includes interest rate-sensitive commodities like crude, copper, and gold.

So, let’s check in with a commodity group that walks to the beat of its own drum…

The New York City Softs: Cocoa, Coffee, Cotton, and Sugar.

First up, Cocoa. 

I’m sure you’ve seen Cocoa’s 45-year base breakout to new all-time highs:

Cocoa futures have been the main attraction, showcasing a face-ripping rally reminiscent of the 1970s.

In the 70s, Cocoa experienced two 400-plus rallies, each spanning approximately two years trough-to-peak (December ‘71 to April ‘74 and June ‘75 to August ‘77).

Cocoa might have another explosive rally in the tank!

For now, it’s bouncing between two critical extension levels:

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The Hall of Famers (06-14-2024)

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Crowdstrike and Arista Networks.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

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Junior Hall of Famers (06-14-2024)

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

All Star Charts Premium, All Star Charts Gold Rush

Commodities: Hunting for an Uncorrelated Trade

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’m avoiding the US dollar and interest rate chopfest.

That includes interest rate-sensitive commodities like crude, copper, and gold.

So, let’s check in with a commodity group that walks to the beat of its own drum…

The New York City Softs: Cocoa, Coffee, Cotton, and Sugar.

First up, Cocoa. 

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[Options Premium] Gotta Be in the Mega Majors

June 14, 2024

The recent stock market rally is being led by the mega caps. And there's no reason to think this isn't going to continue for the foreseeable future.

I'm currently under-allocated to the biggest capped names. So today's trade is an attempt to rectify that.

Long Elon and Long Tesla

June 14, 2024

In 2019 Tesla was worth a tiny $30 Billion.

By 2021 Tesla was approaching a market cap of $1.3 Trillion.

The job of a CEO is to increase shareholder value.

Period.

No CEO in history made shareholders more money faster than Elon Musk.

It's just math.

All Star Charts Crypto

📅 Relative Strength in Bitcoin Miners

June 14, 2024

Bitcoin looks set to end the week down as large-cap growth is driving up the U.S. equity indices. There's a substantial divergence taking place, and I'm betting that Bitcoin catches higher; I just need to see this manifest with a breakout above 73,000.

I keep reiterating the strength in Bitcoin mining stocks. While the short-term trends look set to consolidate in the coming weeks, they have become a favorable sector to craft a more longer-term bullish thesis in the crypto markets.