The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.
The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.
Commodities are showing up on the green side of the screen these days as we witness a recovery. One of the commodities that have displayed strength time and again is Natural Gas. The price is currently trading at an all-time high and we're here to revisit those crucial levels.
The market environment has been shifting in favor of the bulls all summer.
Breadth thrusts are firing as participation beneath the surface expands. Risk assets – commodities and stocks alike – are reclaiming critical levels of former support.
This is a huge departure from earlier in the year.
But one aspect of the environment remains the same – interest rates. Yes, rates have come off their June peak. And, yes, US yields have paused at a logical level marked by a series of former highs.
That’s all true, and it all makes perfect sense.
But we still find ourselves in a rising-rate market as the underlying uptrend remains intact – for now.
Earlier in the month, we broke down the ranges in the 30-, 10-, and 5-year US yields. Today, we'll turn our attention overseas.
One of the big characteristics that often separates great traders from mediocre ones is the willingness and ability to sit on the sidelines when it's necessary.
A brief adage we often mention is the distinction between seeing a setup and looking for one. Be patient, prepare your perfect swing, and the setups will come to you.
We never actually know that we've been in a bull market until well after the bottom.
It's easy to look back and pinpoint the March 2020 low or the March 2009 low, for example, and say, "That's when the bear market ended and a new bull market started".
But in real time, when we're going through that transition, how can we possibly know?
Well, classic signs of the end of the bear markets are things like historically bearish sentiment extremes and washout breadth levels.
We obviously had both of those as our sentiment readings this summer were the most pessimistic since the Great Financial Crisis, and only 14% of stocks on the NYSE were in uptrends (compared to almost 90% entering 2021).
Those are the things you see just before the market turns.
I’ve got an old pair of Chaco sandals that I’m not ready to part with just yet. But the soles were becoming detached from the footbed, so I had to do a little repair work.
I glued them up and started thinking about rigging a clamp to provide even pressure to help the glue set. Catching sight of a couple of bricks laying nearby, I realized that these would work just fine for this type of job.
Would a well placed clamp or two have produced a more textbook repair? Perhaps. But the bricks I had at hand worked just fine for this.
As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!
One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey...