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[PLUS] October Weight of the Evidence Dashboard: Macro Lacks Stability, Rallies Lack Follow Through

October 4, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The Scales are tipped toward risk and away from opportunity.

A challenging macro backdrop is weighing on the market and unsustained rally attempts have kept Breadth and Trends & Momentum from joining Sentiment as reasons to look for opportunity.

Our Weight of the Evidence Dashboard fills in the details and includes a few high-level charts that we are watching as we head into the 2022 homestretch.

 

Best Time Of The Entire Cycle

October 4, 2022

I thought last night's call went well.

Sorry it went a little long and had 200 charts.

I get carried away sometimes ;)

But I tried to hit on the most important points.

ASC Premium Members can watch the replay here and download the slides.

And speaking of important points, isn't this the exact point in time to be buying stocks?

From a seasonal perspective, the time is now:

All Star Charts Crypto

The Case for a Countertrend Rally

October 4, 2022

Yesterday, we briefly addressed the precarious lack of volatility within crypto markets.

It's piqued our curiosity to see crypto volatility dampen while risk markets have continued to sell off in recent weeks. This comes as equities lost their June lows, where downside volatility looked poised to follow through.

But, this week, risk appetite has shown a completely different face.

The S&P 500 is back above the lows, putting in a failed breakdown.

What's more is that both Ethereum and Bitcoin have risen in conjunction with equities, supporting the case that the conditions for a countertrend rally have been set.

 

 

Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (10-04-2022)

October 4, 2022

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

What a big bounce this morning. Unfortunately, I didn't hold the $SPY overnight, which was a bad miss.

I've been looking for this 373 zone since last week, and we might just get there today. The exact level is 373.44.

Buffett Successor Abel Makes Big BRK Buy

October 4, 2022

The most significant insider activity on today’s list was reported in a series of Form 4 filings by Greg Abel, the vice-chairman of Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.

Abel reported purchases worth roughly $68 million in Berkshire’s class A shares.

The transactions help to align the executive more closely with shareholders as he prepares to take the reins of the company at some point in the future.

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Under the Hood (10-03-2022)

October 3, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we're covering all the action for the week ended September 30, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options...

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Follow the Flow (10-03-2022)

October 3, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...