Reversal - Or Just a Respite?

The new low list peaked in May and the new high list bottomed in July. Despite this, we’ve had more new lows than new highs in 44 of the past 46 weeks.

The Details: More than 4400 stocks (48% of the total on the NYSE + NASDAQ) made new lows in May. That was the most since March 2020. The new low list has ebbed and flowed since then but has not surpassed that peak. The 116 stocks (just 1% of NYSE + NASDAQ total) that made new highs in the first week of July was the fewest since April 2020. Last week 357 stocks (4%) made new highs and 1645 (18%) made new lows.

More Context: When downtrends ready to turn higher and new bull markets are being born, we usually see a sharp collapse in new lows accompanied by a gradual expansion in new highs. The combined effect is that new highs begin to consistently outnumber new lows. We saw this in early 2019 and again after the COVID lows. There were two weeks in August in which the new high list was longer than the...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We opened up on the indices, and they came back down to fill their respective gaps.

We trended higher the rest of the day, but it was a pretty volatile morning.

I dunno why, but thinking about train tracks and rail stocks got me thinking of Blue Steel. There is absolutely no connection between today's trade and the pose made famous by the Zoolander film. But, you're welcome.

Today's trade idea comes straight from All Star Charts' recent Mid-Month Conference Call.

While not aggressively bullish here, I do think there is an opportunity to leverage high options premiums into a high-probability bet.

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

Where is the defensive rotation?

I was told US Stocks were in a bear market.

For those keeping score at home, the NYSE new lows list peaked in June. That was over 4 months ago.

But Consumer Staples have been underperforming since May!

We had a resting GTC order filled in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

We had a resting GTC order filled at our profit target in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

Nothing's changed.

That's it -- that's the post. There's nothing to discuss.

Bitcoin and the rest of the asset class are still a choppy mess. There's no conviction in taking longs until price action can shape up in a more bullish manner.

Given the lackluster market conditions, this letter will act as yet another brief interim update.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The SPX futures popped above 3,800 last night and then retreated.

Now we seem to be climbing back to that area. This 3,800 area will have some resistance, then 3,827.

It’s a new week, but the same insiders are still buying.

Form 4 filings for the wood pellet producer Enviva $EVA have been hitting the wire nonstop this month.

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.