The big insider transaction everyone is talking about this morning isn’t on our list, as there hasn’t been a filing yet.
Last night, during the Asana $ASAN earnings call, the company announced that its founder, Dustin Moskovitz, will be purchasing another $350 million worth of stock via a private placement.
The reason is because it helps me allocate my time better. Should I be spending more time looking for stocks to buy, should I be spending more time looking for stocks to sell, or should I be at the beach because the market is a mess?
Being able to answer this question correctly can be a huge advantage.
I think blindly incorporating a specific type of strategy at all times, regardless of the market conditions seems awfully difficult.
If we can first identify what type of market environment we're in, then we can pick and choose which tools and strategies are best fit for that part of the cycle.
Are we in a high volatility environment? Then why would we implement strategies that are best suited for low volatility environments?
Are we in a trending market environment? Then why would we use the tools and strategies that are best for sideways rangebound markets?
I think we first identify where we are in the cycle, and then decide how to approach the market from there.
Key Takeaway: Despite the stock market’s reluctance toward sustained advances, investors have refused to throw in the towel. The bulls showed up last month, declaring their intent by triggering short-term breadth and momentum thrusts. Yet, as impressive as the display of strength was, they’re still waiting for the market to respond. Or at least the response they were hoping for. We would expect oversold conditions to reverse quickly after strong upside momentum and broadening participation. That hasn’t happened yet and bulls are showing signs of getting discouraged. If the relationship between investors and stocks isn’t going to be a two-way street, the likelihood of a broader and deeper sentiment re-set increases.
Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Investors Not Giving Up On Stocks
After reviewing the Cyclical Portfolio, we are making the active decision to sit on our hands for now. In the Tactical Opportunity Portfolio, we've made a couple of tweaks. We are seeing "Higher for longer" resonate with the bond market and are increasing exposure to one of the few areas that is actually still in an uptrend.
Recently I've been listening to a wider variety of music than I have in the past. It's by design.
Each week, I've assigned myself a little goal to listen to a new album. I set aside a few hours to actively listen and immerse myself in the music -- to relax, of course, but also to consider the themes and overall messages artists are trying to convey.
It's been fun, and I'm enjoying it immensely. And it's also helped me become a better writer and opened my outlook on life more broadly.
Music is powerful. I can't imagine life without it. And one particular track from my personal list of top 10 classic hip hop pieces of all time has been stuck in my head all day.
We got just a little bit of Dollar weakness starting in mid-July and stocks ripped higher. Thousands of points added to the Dow, Ethereum doubled and the average stock on the Nasdaq rallied over 40%.
We saw one of the most historic short-squeezes in history. And all it took was just a little bit of Dollar weakness. It wasn't even that much.
But then once that Dollar strength came back last month, the bid in stocks and crypto disappeared.
Here's a zoomed out look at the negative correlation between stocks and the Dollar:
The most significant insider transaction on today's list comes in a 13D from Carl Icahn, who increased his ownership stake in Southwest Gas $SWX by 1%.
Icahn now owns 9.7% of outstanding shares, up from the 8.7% he reported on August 16.