To close the week, we saw a remarkable rally that drove Bitcoin prices up more than 10%. This was the largest single-day gain going back to February 28.
This came after Bitcoin tested the shelf of support near 19,000, while equity markets bounced on an important inflection point.
In last week's letter, we pointed out that buyers needed to step up and defend these levels, which they clearly have.
The stock we're looking at this week is part of the Industrial Manufacturing sector. Let's examine which name has made it to our scan this time. Also, check out our latest post on Industrial Manufacturing stocks paving the way for the next leg of the rally!
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
The Industrial sector has been on our radar throughout this year. The Nifty 500 peaked in October 2021, whereas stocks from the industrial sector continued to show resilience. Our outperformers scan list is full of industrial stocks.
Our Custom ASC Industrial Index is making a new all-time high on an absolute and a relative basis. We are looking for opportunities to add based on price breaking above the consolidating or options to add within an ongoing bullish uptrend. Finally, we'll look into potential multi-year breakouts.
In this post, we'll update the trade ideas from the last post and add a few new actionable setups that look attractive on the long side for the next few weeks and months.
Gold has been a terrible inflation hedge over the trailing 24 months. It’s gone nowhere since the summer of 2020, while every other commodities have experienced rip-roaring rallies.
The truth is, the "inflation hedge" narrative is just that – a narrative. And I believe it’s false.
But, more importantly, so does price.
I prefer to lean on John Murphy’s observation that gold has a tendency to sniff out inflation, leading to major bull runs in commodities.
And, with gold futures on the verge of breaking down to fresh two-year lows, I think it’s a good time to revisit this often misunderstood metal.
Remember, gold was the first commodity to rally in 2019 – a full year ahead of the rest of the rest of the space.
Here’s a chart of gold futures overlaid with our equal-weight commodity index, highlighting the base breakouts:
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry, we developed a separate universe for that. You can click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Inflation data has overtaken jobs data as the economic indicator that seems to generate the most interest every month and next week’s CPI report will be no different. But seeing inflation just from a post-COVID perspective misses the point. It’s not about prices for used cars or gasoline or shipping containers. Those might be in the headlines but they aren’t the news. The match was struck when the Fed was cutting rates in H2 2019 with wage growth and median CPI inflation at their highest levels in a decade and more job openings than unemployed workers for the first time ever. That reality got lost during the COVID shut-down & re-opening. All the stimulus that followed was fuel for the fire. The Fed made a policy error in 2019. The Fed compounded that error by mis-reading the situation and remaining complacent through 2021. All that being said, we may very well be nearing peak inflation. Inflation needs to stop going up before it can start going down. But it having stopped going up doesn’t mean that it has started going down in a meaningful way.
We've been keeping a keen eye on Uranian stocks over the past few weeks. Throughout the recent broader market weakness, it became a common refrain in our internal analyst meetings: "...we're still seeing relative strength in Uranium stocks."
When we keep saying that over and over, maybe the market is trying to tell us something? *slaps head*
The stock that seems the strongest to us in the sector has been showing signs this week that it's ready to break out. So let's get to work.