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Swing Trader Pro: Morning Briefing (10-21-2022)

October 21, 2022

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We saw a bearish reversal yesterday afternoon in the indices.

For today, I'm watching to see if the SPX can hold 3,638, then 3600. We'd need to get back above 3,689, then 3,700, to head back uphill. The $SPY has support at 363, then 360.

Netflix Gap Fill & Chill

October 21, 2022

I interrupt this bear market to bring you stocks that are going up.

While people are crying about their stocks going down, we're focused on the winners.

You know why? Because winners tend to keep on winning.

And losers? Well, we don't care so much for you. By definition, few people do.

Here's a stock making new 6-month highs this week.

You may have heard of it:

Keep Shining, Jon Boorman

October 20, 2022

Two years ago tomorrow (October 21st), the social financial community lost one of its shining lights, our friend Jon Boorman.

In the year prior, he’d been diagnosed with Glioblastoma, an incurable form of brain cancer, and was given a prognosis of about one year to live.

We cannot possibly fathom what receiving that type of news feels like and I won’t even dare to attempt to imagine it.

All I can say is that when he called me on the phone and broke the news, I couldn’t keep my composure and cried like a baby. Amazingly, by this time Jon had already come to peace with what was happening. Jon, like me, was a fan of Stoic philosophy, and I can’t even begin to describe the awe I had in Jon as he seemed to face down this impending tragedy with amazing calm and acceptance.

One of the great blessings for Jon and his family was

All Star Charts Premium

The Short Report (10-20-2022)

October 20, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

The Hash Rate Paints an Ugly Picture

October 20, 2022

There's only one thing you need to know about Bitcoin miners. That is, they're essentially long Bitcoin's price, short the hash rate, and short electricity prices.

Wonder why publicly traded Bitcoin miners have been laughable? It's because all these three are moving in the completely opposite direction.

Chart of the Day: Energy Stocks Keep Winning

October 20, 2022

One of the things that continues to really stand out to me is the relentless outperformance in Energy stocks, even in the midst of a major correction in Crude Oil.

You can see it perfectly in this chart. Energy stocks today are making new 52-week highs relative to Crude:

No Stress in Credit

October 20, 2022

The bond market is the biggest and baddest market of them all.

All these crypto currencies can go to zero and no one who matters will care.

The entire pot industry can disappear tomorrow and it won't matter.

Small-cap stocks aren't relevant, from a systemic perspective.

Do you know what matters? The bond market.

And if there's real stress out there in financial markets, you are going to see it show up in bonds.

It's just math.

But a funny thing happened in Q2 this year. High Yield Credit spreads began to tighten.

If there was real stress, you would be seeing them widening.

In this chart below we're looking at lower lows in the S&P500 but higher lows in the ratio between Junk Bonds and US Treasury Bonds: