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Chart of the Day: Winners Win

October 27, 2022

You certainly see it in life - the losers usually continue to lose. And winners win.

It's the same thing in the stock market. Winners tend to keep on winning, and the losers remain losers for a reason.

With the whole ESG scam unraveling over the past couple of years, the market has voted with their dollars.

That's what pays.

Not cute bed time stories. Actual Dollars.

Forget the narratives. I want to know what investors are ACTUALLY doing.

And as we have documented here consistently, the voting dollars are being used to buy Energy.

But I continue to be impressed with the strength in Energy stocks, despite the correction we've seen in Crude Oil Futures.

Look at that relative strength:

Mean Reversion or New Trend?

October 27, 2022

Bear markets are infamous for their counter-trend rallies.

Breakouts fail, and the charts are painted with false moves.

Throughout this bear market, traders have bought the breakouts to then dump the next day into an illiquid tape.

Given the gains we've seen over the last few days, I think it's important we step back.

Icahn Buys More SWX

October 27, 2022

We got a new Form 13D from our favorite corporate raider yesterday, as Carl Icahn revealed  an increased ownership stake in Southwest Gas $SWX.

Icahn now owns 9.8% of outstanding shares, a very slight uptick from the 9.7% he reported on September 7.

You're Crazy To Be Short

October 27, 2022

I understand the theories about Crypto Currencies being a scam.

"The whole thing is about to fall apart", they tell me.

And yea maybe.

That's entirely possible.

I don't really care that much either way. If it goes up, I hope to profit from it. And if all the coins go to zero, I'll make sure I'm not in them.

Other people losing money long crypto in that scenario is not my problem. I don't have the slightest interest or the time to care about other people's portfolios.

And I say that only to reiterate that I'm approaching this conversation with a very open mind.

Because we all know that the Bitcoin maxis and Ethereum folks can rarely have a civilized conversation, particularly with those who might disagree.

So to be clear, I do not care at all.

I'm much more interested in what's for dinner tomorrow than I am worried about whether Bitcoin is going to a million or zero.

Now with all of that out of the way, I think you have to be out of your mind to be short BTC or ETH if they are above their prior cycle's peak.

Here's what that looks like:

All Star Charts Premium, 2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (10-26-2022)

October 26, 2022

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

October 26, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

“This Is A Test. This Is Only A Test.”

The S&P 500 this month and last undercut its June low but it is now back above that key level. The same can be said from a sentiment perspective. The NAAIM Exposure index and the Bull-Bear spreads for Investors Intelligence and AAII in recent weeks dipped below their Q2 lows but have since recovered.

[Options] Playing a Risky Reversal

October 26, 2022

We continue to be handcuffed by earnings season. Some of the best setups we like right now are in stocks slated to announce earnings over the next week or two. As an options trader, I don't like to position ahead of imminent earnings announcements. That is tough binary risk to control.

Today's trade has earnings coming up in a little over a month from now, so that'll have to do. At least it gives us some time to build a little cushion. Because if we're wrong in this trade, it's likely we'll find out pretty quickly over the next two weeks.