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The Time and Place for a DXY Rally

January 3, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’m not big into seasonality.

I pay attention to it, of course. But it’s not in my top three data points after price. 

Don’t get me wrong, seasonality brings context and enhances awareness of any given market – which should be a priority for any trader or investor.

I have multiple almanacs on my desk, including the Stock Trader’s Almanac by Jeff Hirsch and Christopher Mistal and the Spectra Markets Trader Handbook and Almanac by Brent Donnelly and Justin Ross.

...

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

January 3, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Top 10 Charts Report was just published.

In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we’re currently seeing in asset classes around the world.

New Relative Lows for Growth

The relationship between growth and value has leaned heavily in favor of cyclical stocks as we see fresh new lows in this ratio. As long as this downtrend is intact, the best course of action is to remain overweight value-oriented areas and stay away from growth.

Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (01-03-2023)

January 3, 2023

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

We saw a nice pop in the morning and then a hard fade pretty much right after the market opened. Feels like a repeat of last year.

The market did try to hang on to the $SPX 3,800 level most of the day. It's all about this level right now; a true break below and we can see 3,780.

We need back above 3,840 for a rally higher.

[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways

January 3, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.

By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.

Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:

* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.

Macro Universe:

  • This week, our macro universe was slightly negative, as 64% of our list closed lower with a median return of -0.13%.
  • The 30-Year Yield $TYX was the winner again, closing with a 3.87% gain.
  • The biggest loser was Lumber $LB, with a weekly loss of -2.68%.
  • There was no change in the percentage of assets on our list within 5% of their 52-week highs – currently at 2%.
  • 15% of our macro list made fresh 4-week highs, and 9...
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Follow the Flow (01-03-2023)

January 3, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...