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Thankfully it's only price that pays anyone

November 6, 2022

The only way anyone gets paid around here is to sell things at higher prices than where we buy them.

And not necessarily in that order.

Do you have a better way?

I've been doing this for 20 years and I have never seen any other way to profit.

You might enjoy pretending to know "why" a stock or group of stocks may be moving. But the market doesn't pay you to pretend to know why.

The market only pays us when we sell things at higher prices than where we buy them.

And this is all so funny to me, because I constantly see so many people focusing all their attention on everything BUT price.

That never made any sense to me.

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Metals Are Making All the Right Moves

November 4, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Metals have been one of the weakest areas of the market this year.

It doesn’t matter if we’re talking about the materials sector, commodity space, base and industrial metals, or gold. These assets have carried nothing but downside risk.

But mix in a little dollar weakness, and we see an impressive display of strength. Metals are finally looking like they have something to prove.

Yes, it’s only one day of action. But it’s a day worth noting…

Check out the breakout in copper futures, posting its largest single-day return since 2009:

This is a big development for commodities and risk assets in general.

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The Hall of Famers (11-04-2022)

November 4, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check out the International Hall of Famers.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

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[Options Premium] Our Old Pal Hal

November 4, 2022

We can't argue with price.

And price continues to tell us the Energy bull market still has legs.

Today's trade is a case in point where trading action today announced a declaration that an old-school oil services name wants to continue climbing higher.

Rule #6: Don't fight the FED (less valid than #1).

November 4, 2022

The lengths that grown adults will go to justify their reckless behavior continues impress.

One of the classic misnomers that you'll hear out there, especially these days, is: "Don't Fight The Fed"

How many times do you hear these fools say it?

They think they sound smart. They think they're clever.

They pretend to be historians, but all they're proving is that they're lazy, wrong and enjoy embarrassing themselves in front of everyone.

If you're going to quote the great Marty Zweig, the least you can do is quote him correctly.

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A Relative Bid Goes a Long Way

November 4, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Bonds are an absolute dumpster fire

Everyone knows fixed income is having one of its worst years on record. And, from the looks of it, we’ll all be dragging our Christmas trees to the curb before US Treasuries stage a miraculous comeback. 

Don’t get me wrong. I believe these safe haven assets will dig in and catch higher –  eventually. There’s just no sign of it happening any time soon.

Instead of focusing on the disappointing performance of bonds, let’s turn our attention to its relative trends against other major asset classes – stocks and commodities.

Here’s the commodities versus bonds ratio using the CRB Commodity Index and the 30-year Treasury bond futures: