The uptrend for bonds peaked in early 2021. The trend for stocks did so a year later. Commodities peaked in June and over the past few months the trend has been slowly (an unevenly rolling over).
Check out this week's Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.
By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.
Let's jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week's report:
* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.
In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
China Bulls Take Charge
Chinese equities have emerged as some of the unlikely leaders among global markets. In the last month, China Internet ETF (KWEB) and iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) have risen 31% and 19%, respectively. Meanwhile, Emerging Markets (EEM) are only up about 8.5% over the same period.
Equities and cyclicals have seen some modest gains off the lows, while growth areas and crypto markets have waned. In fact, by our calculations, this year has seen one of the greatest disparities in performance between growth and value.
You can see it when you compare something like Bitcoin or Ethereum against the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Sure, crypto markets have been dragged down by the FTX contagion. Still, perhaps the bigger driver of this price action has been the macro flow out of long-duration growth assets (crypto included) and into traditional value areas.
We're talking industrials, materials, and, of course, energy stocks.
Let me ask you this: In bear markets does it historically get easier and easier to find stocks making new all-time highs?
Where I grew up, new all-time highs, yet alone more and more of them every day, are not something that we normally see in bear markets.
And here we are. I can't remember the last time it was this easy to find stocks breaking out to new highs. And not just new 3-month highs or even 52-week highs.
Stocks are breaking out to new ALL-TIME Highs.
And not just in one or two sectors.
We're seeing it in Financials, Industrials, Technology, Energy, Healthcare, Staples, Telecom and more.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.