It's the weekly commodity edition of What the FICC?

Today, we focus on metals and the differences between correcting though price versus time.

Check it out!

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

We all learn how to fall – the sooner, the better.

As adults, we forget this is one of the first skills we learn early in life. For better or worse, my one-year-old reminds me daily.

He’s amazing. 

Yes, I’m one of those proud, doting fathers. But his coordination and acrobatics keep both of us out of the pediatric ER (and me, the doghouse). He pops right up whenever he hits the ground and keeps chasing his older brother.

Pure gold.

Since my mind is always lost in the charts, his agility and doggedness remind me of gold’s resilience during the past two years.

You often hear us refer to markets correcting through price or time. It’s an important concept that can reveal underlying strength. 

The dual-pane chart of copper and gold futures presents both:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Equity markets around the globe are getting rocked as we close out another rough week.

And then there's China, which is green on the day.

This isn't just a one-day thing. In fact, it's quite the opposite. China has been showing impressive relative strength since bottoming in late October.

Today is just a microcosm of what that leadership has looked like.

It's had our attention for a while already, which is why we're about to discuss the structural outlook for Chinese stocks and outline some long ideas in the strongest names.

Here's the performance of a basket of international equity ETFs since markets bottomed and ripped higher on Oct. 13:

From the Desk of Willie Delwiche.

After unexpectedly good headline and core CPI prints for November, the stocks were caught off guard by unexpectedly hawkish forecasts on both rates and inflation when the Fed released its Summary of Economic Projections following Wednesday’s FOMC meeting.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Today $SPY filled its gap from the Nov. 10 CPI print.

We're currently below the major moving averages.

This is the video recording of our December 16, 2022, All Star Charts Crypto Weekly Strategy Session.

At this point, it is almost becoming a cliche. But whenever the market sells off and Berkshire Hathaway takes a dip, it's almost becoming money in the bank to sell puts.

It's already worked for us numerous times this year. This won't work forever, of course, but until it stops working we should keep giving it a go.

With this in mind, let's get to work.

An All Star Options community member recently sent me an email asking about the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and whether or not it is helpful in ascertaining if options premiums are elevated or depressed in the underlying instrument. 

For a pretty thorough explanation of what ATR is, here’s a blurb I found on macroption.com:

We've adjusted a position in the Paid-to-Play portfolio today:

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Bryant R. Riley, chairman and CEO of B. Riley Financial $RILY.

Riley reported a purchase of $2.5 million worth of RILY stock.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Another gap lower for the indices this morning. I'll be watching to see if the $SPX can hold 3,861 or so.

I was looking for a gap down. Now we'll see if we can get a bounce.

With the major indexes below overhead supply, you're seeing the choppy action.

There are stocks continuing to do very well, like Homebuilders for example. And there are some stocks really struggling, like U.S. Banks.

But in the aggregate, at the index level, you're seeing the grind.