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The Peril of Comforting Narratives

January 12, 2023

From the Desk of Louis Sykes

Every child loves a bedtime story.

These stories allow their mind to wander from busy thoughts into an adventure. It provides a comforting reality and a narrative they can consciously control.

Comically, in this sense, children and investors are more similar than we let on.

It's just that one obtains comfort from an adventurous tale while the other derives solace in news headlines.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying this is bad or wrong. I'm just noting its existence.

The vast majority of investors need to understand why a stock is moving rather than solely following technicals and money flow.

I totally get it.

Is PLAY in Play?

January 12, 2023

Today's Hot List is a short one.

The only Form 4 on our list was filed by the chief marketing officer of Dave & Buster's Entertainment $PLAY, who revealed a small purchase of $149,684.

This activity comes on the heels of a handful of Form 4 and Form 13 filings for PLAY by Hill Path Capital over the past month.

Acknowledge Your Denominator

January 12, 2023

A question that keeps coming up to me is why Consumer Staples and Low Volatility stocks are outperforming.

These are normally the types of things you see when stocks in general are under pressure.

This is the kind of rotation you get in bear markets.

But the back half of 2022 was good for stocks. The 4th quarter was great.

Most stocks have been ripping for almost 7 months now. This is NOT the type of environment where Staples and Low Volatility stocks tend to outperform.

And while they might be making new multi-year highs relative to the S&P500, it's pretty easy to outperform an index with so much exposure to growth stocks. So can we even call that 'outperformance'?

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The Short Report (01-11-2023)

January 11, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as The Hall of Famers, The Minor Leaguers, and The 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a regular basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.