The most important groups of stocks are stuck below overhead supply.
That's not usually a characteristic of strong uptrends where investors are consistently rewarded for owning stocks. That was the first half of this year.
Today, it's almost the exact opposite.
In this type of environment, investors are rewarded for selling volatility and collecting income. Investors also tend to be rewarded for avoiding these types of sectors and looking for opportunities elsewhere, in less correlated areas.
Here are 4 of the most important groups of stocks all stuck below their prior cycle's peaks:
Major global currencies, including the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar, the Japanese yen, the Canadian dollar, and the Singapore dollar, are limping lower against the greenback.
The long list could grow in coming sessions as momentum builds behind a sustained USD advance.
While the evidence suggests we lean in that direction, I always prepare to take the other side of a trade if and when the data changes.
So, what’s the best way to play a falling dollar?
Before I share my favorite trade setup, let’s look at the US Dollar Index $DXY:
DXY is finding resistance at the July pivot highs and a downtrend line originating with the March peak.
At the risk of sounding like a broken record, I'm continuing my theme of the past week of looking for opportunities to sell premium in mostly delta-neutral options trades.
"Delta-neutral" basically means I'm looking to collect income in sideways consolidations while the broader markets sort out this current correction.
Not only is this a good tactical bet for sideways, sloppy, and messy markets, but it also provides nice portfolio diversification if you have a book of long positions like I do.
We've got a well-known mega-cap stock to use as our vehicle today, so let's get to it.