The question we're asking ourselves today is a big one.

Is the US Dollar breaking down from a multi-year consolidation?

With the dollar rangebound all year, we haven’t experienced a trending currency market. 

When the dollar is trending higher or lower, we have a good idea of the impact it is likely to have on other markets.

However, when it is trendless, the dollar is neither a headwind nor a tailwind for risk assets.

We think that could be changing.

Here's a weekly line chart showing the U.S. Dollar Index making new year-to-date lows:

As you can see, the US dollar bears have taken control and resolved this multi-year consolidation to the downside.

Here's another way to look at it.

This morning, the team was discussing a notable Board of Directors insider making a sizeable $5 million purchase of stock.

While an insider's buy isn't necessarily grounds for me to get interested in getting involved, it did catch our attention and after looking at the chart and the sector, it looks like a trade we'd like to get into--carefully.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Adjustment to XLP position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

We're just one week away from the earnings report for one of the most important companies in the world.

We will be LIVE Streaming the earnings call and trading any opportunities that may come from the volatility after the earnings release.

This Live Trading Stream will be on Wednesday August 28th @ 3:45PM ET. 

There's nothing to provide updates on, nor any new trade opportunities I have seen.

I am reiterating the message earlier in the week.

I think this is a good place to add long-term exposure, but do not believe it to be good for short-term trading opportunities; more patience is needed here.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolled SMH position to October.
3. Closed XHB position.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

I find myself saying this a lot these days....

But again, Mathematically, you cannot have a bear market, or a correction of any kind, without the prices of stocks falling.

And so if we know that, then shouldn't we monitor how many stocks are actually falling in price?

This is just common sense isn't it?

Well, where are the new lows?

They're non-existent...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended August 16, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

It’s good to be a gold bug.

New all-time highs and fresh breakouts are dotting the charts. Buy signals are flashing left and right. And even the laggards – Palladium and Platinum – are refusing to break down. 

Best of all, Gold has a one-track mind: up and to the right!

This is the video recording of the August 2024 Mid-month Conference Call.

In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza and I assess the current market environment, post- whatever the hell we're calling what happened a couple weeks ago (Volmageddon 2?, Yen YoYo? The Carry Drop?).

It feels more and more like that was merely a footnote to an otherwise pretty robust bull market. We'll see.

Regardless, we're looking for bullish setups in this tape and an online retailer out of South Korea has our attention.

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolled GDX position to October.
3. Closed IWM at Profit Target and XLI for a scratch.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!