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Re: Your Bond Market Crash

March 18, 2024

Over the weekend I found myself having to remind someone that the U.S. Bond Market is crashing.

I know many of us have just grown accustomed to the bond market crashing all year, every year.

But this isn't just something to dismiss, like many investors have apparently found themselves doing.

This is the biggest bond market crash in our lifetimes.

All Star Charts Crypto

Downside Risks Manifest

March 17, 2024

In last week’s letter, we outlined the various downside risks we were monitoring. Namely, with Bitcoin retesting the 2021 highs and profit-taking occurring on-chain, we pointed to a number of developments that could’ve prompted a more defensive posture. As such, we've seen sellers become dominant once-again, with Bitcoin and many altcoins falling below our risk levels this weekend.

Crypto markets are trading at a rather significant inflection point; they need to hold here, else we're in for a period of consolidation.

 

This Will Cause So Much Pain

March 17, 2024

Are you prepared for a market environment where Commodities are ripping higher and stocks continue to struggle?

Don't worry, most people are not.

In fact, so few people are prepared for this line to go up, and so much pain will be felt by so many (investors or otherwise), that this is exactly the outcome I'm betting on.

Higher Rates = Opposite of Lower Rates

March 16, 2024

Have you heard that stocks are going up in anticipation of lower interest rates?

Me too.

That's hilarious isn't it?

What about all those journalists?

Are they feeding you the same garbage?

Yup!

How about the Biden?

This guy is still the President of the United States. And he's telling you that rates are going down.

Have any of these people even bothered to look?

Or are they just lying to you?

Neither is an acceptable answer.

The U.S. 10-year Yield just went out yesterday at the highest weekly close since November.

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International Hall of Famers (03-15-2024)

March 15, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

...

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Copper and Gold and Palladium, Oh My!

March 15, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Metals are working.

Gold is printing new all-time highs. Copper is trading above four bucks. And Palladium

Well, Palladium has stopped going down.

Considering Palladium’s Commitment of Traders (COT) profile, its tendency to trend with technology stocks, and where it stopped falling…

It’s time to buy!

Check out the long-term Palladium chart stretching back to the late 70s:

Palladium is bouncing off a critical extension level based on the early 1980s decline — a level that acted as resistance for almost two decades.

The...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] I Don't Have Enough Exposure to Gold

March 15, 2024

So we're going to fix that.

And here's why:

It’s the perfect environment to buy mining stocks following gold’s breakout.

The plan is simple: Buy the strongest names on absolute and relative terms – if and when they trade above our risk levels.

That is from my Commodities Analyst Ian Cully in a recent post about the Gold sector.

Today's trade is in a mining name that is above the risk levels, signaling its time to get involved.

Stellantis Buys Another $8.3 Million Worth of ACHR

March 15, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by Stellantis N.V,, which revealed new purchases in Archer Aviation Inc $ACHR worth a total of $8,270,950.

The CEOs of The GEO Group $GEO, Biglari Holdings Inc $BH, and OPKO Health Inc $OPK all filed Form 4s revealing purchases of their own stock.

US Consumer Hurting Badly

March 15, 2024

In today's edition of "This is NOT 2023", here is the U.S. Large-cap Consumer Discretionary Sector breaking down to new 52-week lows relative to the rest of the market.

You can see yesterday's edition here: Energy Stocks Lead US Markets

This isn't 2023. It's a completely different market.

Take a look at this chart below.

New 52-week lows.