Last week, we published a variety of potential trade ideas that were shaping up. With Bitcoin still above our risk level at the time of writing that note, there were many coins breaking higher. But since the publication of that letter, many of these recent breakouts have failed alongside Bitcoin. As such, many of our trade ideas have fallen below their risk levels.

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Currency markets refuse to choose a direction.

Up, down, or sideways: None appeal to the major US dollar pairs.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index $DXY is catching toward the upper bounds of its yearlong range.

If the dollar continues to rise, these swing trades will break for our targets…

I was monitoring the British pound for a breakdown below the December 2023 lows at approximately 1.25:

Instead of resolving lower, the GBP/USD took the opposite route, breaking above the December 2023 highs.

But those new highs were short-lived as the pound slipped back into its prior range. (Talk about indecisive!)

I like shorting the GBP/USD failed breakout. As long as the pound trades below 1.2766, I’m aiming for last month’s low of 1.2515. 

Meanwhile, a failed breakout leads to a fresh breakdown…

The New...

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New position in GLD -- Gold
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Profitable exit in ITB and a Scratch exit in GDXJ.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Stellantis N.V.

The multinational automaker revealed yet another purchase of Archer Aviation Inc $ACHR shares, this one to the tune of $7,637,302.

This is a great thing, but only if you allow it be great.

Interest rates went out yesterday at their highest levels since November.

Do you really believe that the 10-year yield keeps going up because interest rates are going down?

lol

There are people who actually believe that.

So for us, who actually take the time to look, we know that it's the exact opposite.

Commodities are heading higher. And Interest Rates are rising with them.

This is the video recording of the March 2024 Mid-month Conference Call.

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended March 15, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are finally waking up to gold.

Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins. 

But silver has yet to enter the conversation…

On today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza put our heads together to follow the wave into the Steel sector.

Sector trends are showing us where capital is flowing and that led us to a trade idea in steel manufacturing company Reliance Inc $RS.

Here's the chart highlighting a high consolidation that often portends to rapid near term price acceleration:

For those of us who are comfortable with risking higher dollar amounts in trades, I'd be a straight buyer of the September 350 calls.

But I prefer keeping my costs a little lower per unit of risk, so I'll be employing a call spread here to express our bullish opinion.

Here's the Play:

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New position in IWM -- Russell 2000
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. Profitable exit in XLP.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

Here is the link to this week's crypto recording. This is a chance for us to zoom out, put the noise aside, and discuss the most important charts in the world of crypto.
 

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Investors are finally waking up to gold.

Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins. 

But silver has yet to enter the conversation…

I get it. New all-time highs have a way of capturing the investor’s collective conscience. 

But while gold is printing new all-time highs, silver futures post a mere multi-month high. 

I’m no fan of the catch-up trade, as I always want to own the strongest name(s), but check out silver’s four-decade base:

What a monster!

Silver reached its peak in early 1980 at roughly 41.50. The bulls didn’t see that level again until the spring of 2011 when price ran just shy of 50.

Spring is ahead today, and the soft, shiny metal is trading at approximately 25. That means it would have to double before hitting a new all-time high. 

I’m not waiting around for silver to complete this half-century base.

Here’s how I want to play it…

A significant...