In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
Structural Trends Shift in Favor of Value
We just got fresh monthly candles for August last week. When we look at a monthly line chart of the growth vs value relationship, it’s hard to see anything but a recently completed double top formation and successful retest from below. The fact that this bearish reversal pattern is occurring at a critical level of interest at the dot-com bubble highs makes this price action even more significant. As long as this distribution pattern remains valid, we’re anticipating a structural reversal in this relative trend that favors value. And as shown in the upper pane, as far as the major averages are concerned, this means we want to overweight the value-heavy Dow Industrials and underweight tech-heavy indexes such as the Nasdaq 100.