This Is The China Chart To Watch
- Posted by JC Parets
- on July 12th, 2012
Decision time for China. The Shanghai Composite is testing long-term trendline support that goes back to the mid-1990s. Resistance up top is a trendline down from the euphoric highs of 2007. So we’re essentially at the apex of two converging meaningful trendlines.
This is a logarithmic scale weekly line chart of the benchmark Shanghai Composite:
The current prices are near the 2001 highs, right before the Shanghai Composite got cut in half. There is memory at this price. That former resistance adds additional support at these levels.
The consequences of a breakdown below long-term support would really be damaging to this chart, and paints a poor picture for China. But I think there is an overwhelming amount of support where the higher probability move is a bounce. And a breakout above an almost 5-year down trendline could be explosive.
So as you can see, there’s a lot going on right now in this China chart. And I think it’s important to at least stay for the outcome. Regardless of what asset classes you own, this is probably going to have an impact.
Full Disclosure: Nothing on this site should ever be considered to be advice, research or an invitation to buy or sell any securities, please see my Terms & Conditions page for a full disclaimer.blog comments powered by Disqus
J.C. Parets is the Founder & President of Eagle Bay Capital, LLC. He is a 10-year veteran and Market Technician who actively manages money incorporating Technical Analysis and Behavioral Finance into his practice. JC’s work has been featured regularly on CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg, Business News Network, Wall Street Journal and Yahoo Finance among many other financial media outlets. More...
- How To Prepare For a Lower Rate Environment
- Audio: Benzinga Morning Radio Show 5-21-15
- BNN Appearance: Agribusiness Stocks & US Dollars
- Agribusiness is My Favorite Base In The World
- Audio: Benzinga Morning Radio Show
- Here’s Why I like Shorting Disney Up here
- A Not So Happy Cinco De Mayo For the Mexico ETF
- One-Third Of the Year Is Over. Now What?
- What I’m Waiting For To Buy Base Metals
- The Must Follow Podcast: JC Parets
Archive by Year