U.S. Treasury Bonds have treated us very well this year. Coming into January we wanted to buy a breakout above $122-123 in the U.S. Treasury Bond ETF $TLT with a target above $133. This upside target was achieved last month as interest rates simultaneously hit our downside target, 1.65% in the 10-year yield. Since then, we’ve wanted to back off and let new data dictate our next move. Over the past month, we’ve seen rates bounce back up towards 2.0% and the $TLT has fallen back down towards $128.
The question now becomes: Do we get back in on the long side? Or is there more consolidation or price correction needed first? [Read more…]