We’ve all heard about “Dr. Copper’s” ability to gauge global economic growth. What is not discussed as much is that Copper is very highly correlated with Emerging Market stocks, not so much developed markets. With Copper right now setting up for a potentially outsized move, the implications of its direction will likely impact stocks throughout the emerging markets space. [Read more…]
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 1: James Brodie, Athena Financial Solutions
James Brodie started out auditing for Arthur Andersen and did not particularly enjoy it. In the early 1990s he started to learn about derivatives at the largest bank in the world before ultimately moving to Credit Suisse. He’s lived in London, Singapore, New York and Tokyo trading currencies for both the banks and proprietary and then started his own hedge fund. James is also on the Board of the CMT Association. I really enjoyed the advice he gives about what he learned from 2 massive losses he’s taken throughout his career. James is a big fan of behavioral finance and we talk about different studies where we’ve learned that the better traders actually have more losing trades than winning trades. Currently James is watching Gold, EURJPY and US Interest Rates and talks about how he wants to trade them. This was a fun conversation where we covered a lot of things. [Read more…]
Video: Fibonacci and the Dow
I can’t think of a better time to talk about Fibonacci Extensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average right now is fighting to break through an important cluster of extensions that stem from the last two epic peaks we had in the market: 2000 and 2007. A breakout above 27,000 could spark a new cyclical bull market that we believe falls within the context of an ongoing structural bull market. In other words, this is a more intermediate-term breakout (years) while structurally (decades) we have already been in a bull market since arguably 2013 or even 2016.
In this video I talk about 2 key extensions: 261.8% and 423.6% which is exactly where the Dow stopped going up in early 2018. Was 17 months enough time at these levels before we can move on? Let’s discuss: [Read more…]
Video: My Advice For New Investors
One question that I get a lot comes from new investors, “Hey JC, I’m starting to get into the market for the first time, any advice?”
For me, I’m convinced you have to get kicked in the stomach, at least once, but likely even more than that, to finally understand the importance of Risk Management. But if you can somehow figure out a way to just take my word for it, and eliminate your emotionally driven decisions completely, I believe it puts you way ahead of 99% of market participants around the world. [Read more…]
We’re A Technical Analyst 2019 Awards Winner!
For over a decade I’ve been following the annual Technical Analyst Awards each year when they come out. I get excited when my friends are finalists and even award winners.
I am incredibly proud to announce that Allstarcharts Research is the 2019 Winner for Best Fixed Income Research!
Our work was also chosen as a Finalist in 3 other categories:
- Best Equity Research
- Best Multi-Asset Research
- Technical Analyst of the Year
Podcast: What I Learned From My Trip To Europe
I was lucky to spend a few weeks in Europe earlier this month meeting with customers, colleagues and old friends. For me it’s easy to get up in front of a crowd and talk about the charts that I’ve been staring at every day for over a decade. I can practically draw them for you at this point. Where I really win is in meeting with investors and traders from completely different cultures both before and after my events. I just got back from a trip to Athens, London, Paris, Amsterdam and Dublin. Between meetings, interviews and presentations, I was able to learn a lot from other investors and gain new perspective on things. That’s the point of all this. If we’re not going out of our way to learn, then what are we doing?
In this conversation, I sit down with our very own Sean McLaughlin to talk about some of my experiences on the road.
BNN Bloomberg Interview: Stocks, Gold and Dollars
Here is the video from my BNN Bloomberg interview this week. We talk about the implications of a weaker US Dollar, including what that would do to stocks, emerging markets, metals and others. I’ve been waiting for it all year. But think about it. We’ve already seen some of the things we would expect to see in a weaker Dollar environment. Gold strong, for example, and an inability for the Euro to go lower. So for me, I think this Dollar fall is just getting started. [Read more…]
Gold Is Cool Again
A lot of the jokes in my community begin and end with gold bugs. I can’t think of any group that has been so wrong for so long. You could have literally been in anything else the past 8 years and made money. It’s all good though. What goes around comes around. Gold will have its day again, and I think it could be around the corner.
The US Dollar has been a big focus of ours all year (see here, here and here). The implications of the US Dollar’s next move will be felt worldwide. I’ve been in the camp that the US Dollar Index below 98 is positive for stocks and that a drop in the Dollar will most likely coincide with a rotation into emerging markets and european equities. While the Dollar has remained below 98, it’s been more of a sideways range that anything else. But we may have just seen the beginning of this collapse.
Here’s why this is important: [Read more…]
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