This is the video recording of the September 2023 Mid-month Conference Call.
Will Hogs Answer the Cattle Call?
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Stock market bears and tech bros are whining in the corner as energy outperforms.
Haters can hate all they want…
Energy marks the spot when it comes to stocks.
Spencer and I discussed it on Wednesday’s “What the FICC?” episode, highlighting the absolute and relative uptrends across the space.
Energy is clearly resuming a leadership role in stock and commodity markets. But crude oil isn’t the only commodity exhibiting strength.
Here’s Why Gas Prices Are Heading Higher
Energy stocks and commodities remain front and center.
Our equity plays are running toward our upside objectives. Natural gas is attracting a bid. And bulls are eyeing $100 crude.
With that as our backdrop, we reviewed the energy space on yesterday’s “What the FICC?” episode.
And it appears the next leg higher for crude and its crew has commenced…
Commodities Provide More Than Just Information
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
I recently outlined five reasons to bet on energy.
While I stand by my line of reasoning, I did manage to leave out one overarching theme. And it’s an important one!
It’s a market theme that’s played out for almost three years, extending beyond energy to encompass commodities as an asset class.
I’m talking about the commodity-bond ratio…
September Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
We held our September Monthly Strategy Session Tuesday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.
Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.
By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.
With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.
3 Charts to Prepare for the Fall
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session September 2023
This is the video recording of our September 5th Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
A Sweet Seasonal Tailwind
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Seasonality is not the most heavily-weighted data point in my analysis.
It doesn’t even make the top three: price, price, and price.
Nevertheless, tracking seasonal patterns has proven quite valuable in past experiences, especially regarding commodities. (We discussed it today on What the FICC, outlining three strong seasonal tailwinds heading into the fall. Check it out below.)
Raw materials are clearly affected by the earth’s rotation around the sun.
And while these trends fail to produce explicit entry or exit signals, they do provide insight into potential market conditions (not unlike sentiment or COT positioning).
I use seasonality to help guide my focus to those areas of the market that deserve additional attention. Areas such as…
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