This is the video recording of our February 6th Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
An Imbalanced Reaction to the FOMC
From the Desk of Ian Culley
The FOMC handed down the expected 25 basis point rate hike yesterday. Yet markets didn’t react until Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke 30 minutes later.
That’s right, he dropped the D-word – “disinflation.”
To be clear, I don’t care what he said. Instead of hanging on the Fed Chair’s words, I prefer to focus on the markets. I find it more enjoyable.
But, boy, did markets respond!
The most striking aspect of yesterday’s reaction was highlighted by the relative strength of growth stocks.
[Video] What the FICC?: It’s a Question of Yields
It’s the weekly bond edition of What the FICC?
The near-term direction of US interest rates will play a major role in how market conditions resolve in the coming weeks. This is a chart you want to monitor closely…
Check it out!
Will Rates Hold?
From the Desk of Ian Culley
Choppy conditions prevail.
Sure, risk appetite is returning as long-duration assets catch a bid.
The ARK Innovation ETF $ARKK, Tesla $TSLA, and even the Emerging Markets Bond ETF $EMB show impressive near-term strength.
Nevertheless, the overall market is still a range-bound mess…
The S&P 500 churns below overhead supply. A decisive downside resolution in the US Dollar Index $DXY has yet to occur. And commodities – at least at the index level – refuse to violate key support levels.
I doubt the markets will clean themselves up in the coming weeks. But if you want insight into the near-term direction of the major asset classes, keep an eye on this one chart…
[Premium India] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording January 2023
This is the recording from the live January 2023 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframes. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps, and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks, and Pharma.
This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.
Here is the video in full:
[Video] What the FICC?: EM Bonds Bring the Noise
It’s the weekly bond edition of What the FICC?
The relative strength of Emerging Market bonds shores up the ongoing bottoming process for risk assets.
Check it out!
Bond Investors Embrace Risk
From the Desk of Ian Culley
It’s impossible to ignore – investors are reaching for risk.
Biotech stocks are catching higher. Copper futures are working on their tenth up-day in a row. Even the Emerging Market HY Bond ETF $EMHY is breaking to 7-month highs as it completes a multi-month base.
And don’t forget about Silver! Gold’s crazy cousin has proven by far the best-performing asset since the US dollar peaked last fall. Strength among these market areas indicates a healthy risk appetite.
I can’t overlook these signs of a constructive bottoming process, especially considering the next chart…
[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording January 2023
This is the video recording of the January 2023 Mid-month Conference Call.
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