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Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/1/25

May 1, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLC position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Options

The Reason I'm Here Today

April 30, 2025

In the spring of 1998, I was six months into my first job out of college—a mutual fund and insurance salesman for MetLife. The people were kind, and my boss was supportive, but it was a terrible fit for a 22-year-old fresh out of school. Nobody wants financial advice from a kid who, not long before, was slinging pizzas and wings for barely more than minimum wage.

So when my father offered me a chance to move in with him in Tampa, Florida, and look for new opportunities, I glanced out the window at the grey Buffalo skies and didn’t hesitate. Sunshine and a fresh start sounded like the only logical move. Less than a week later, I was on the road.

The first job I landed in Tampa was with what could generously be described as a pseudo-boiler room. We weren’t cold-calling doctors and lawyers with high-pressure penny stock pitches, but we were dialing other stockbrokers and trying to convince them to pump those same junk names to their clients. One step removed from the end-sucker. I was young, naïve—or rather, stupid.

Three months in, barely making any money, it became clear the whole operation was a scam and we were being taken advantage of.

...
The Strazza Letter

A Big Week for Big Tech

April 30, 2025

With four of the Magnificent 7s reporting earnings the next two days, big tech is front and center.

I’m talking about the largest and most important companies in the world.

These mega cap growth stocks have grown so massive that they do most of the driving when it comes to the performance of the major averages.

The S&P 500 won’t be in a bull market if too many of the stocks in the trillion-dollar club are in downtrends. It’s just math.

Alternatively, the S&P is going to look great if Microsoft, Meta, and friends are in uptrends… even if market internals are weak beneath the surface. 

The bottom line is that when it comes to the US stock market, these are the heavyweights. You can’t have a bull market without them.

The Mag 7s currently make up over 30% of the S&P 500 and more than 40% of the Nasdaq 100.

The three largest - Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia - are all tech stocks. So it stands to reason that...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Churchill is Going Downs

April 30, 2025

Sorry for the obnoxious title. Sometimes, these things just write themselves.

You would think that a company involved in sports betting would be doing well, considering it seems I can't escape the barrage of advertising for sports betting apps I'm seeing everywhere I turn.

Apparently, there is a company in this space that can't seem to figure it out. Or at least, that's what their stock price action is saying. 

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (04-30-2025)

April 30, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 4/30/25

April 30, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLP.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

Currency Report: From The Halls of Montezuma

April 29, 2025

The Mexican peso is the “blue-chip” emerging market currency. It’s long been a favorite for hedge fund carry trades—often paired with the yen—due to Mexico’s relatively high interest rates and liquid FX market.

Beyond its appeal to speculators, the peso has also served as a key risk-on currency—often leading and participating alongside a broad base of international equities and commodities.

Following the election of Claudia Sheinbaum in June of 2024, the Mexican Peso and Mexican stocks took a hit, turning into laggards on the international stage. 

 

It was clear for those paying attention that the market did not feel optimistic about President Sheinbaum’s economic leadership. 

But the tides are shifting. With a weakening dollar, the Mexican Peso is finding its footing, and Mexican equities are starting to improve in a...

All Star Options

Even the Best Strategy in the World Can Eventually Fail Me

April 29, 2025

Recently, I had the pleasure of joining Michael Martin on his Trader Mindset podcast for a deep and honest conversation about what it really takes to trade in volatile markets.

One of the biggest takeaways I shared — and something I’ve been reflecting on a lot lately — is that these days, I’m more focused on finding strategies to keep my head on straight than I am on searching for new trading strategies with some theoretical edge.

Because here’s the hard truth: without a clear, steady mindset, even the best strategy in the world will eventually fail me.

Of course, Michael and I also dug into how volatility — especially as measured by the VIX — shapes the playing field for traders, particularly those of us in the options world. We explored how elevated VIX levels impact trade selection, timing, and risk management, and why high volatility environments demand a different, more nimble approach.

One of the key themes we kept circling back to was the psychological side of trading. Because let’s face it: when the market’s flying all over the place and my P&L is jumping around just as fast, my internal state can become my biggest...

The Strazza Letter

All About International

April 29, 2025

US equities are officially the laggards of the world.

The S&P 500 is underperforming just about every stock market around the globe this year.

After four months of steady underperformance, a growing list of international indexes are making new 52-week highs relative to the US.

While these ratios might be stretched over the short-term, when you zoom out, they are taking the shape of primary trend reversals.

All this tells us is to expect more leadership from international stocks in the future. I think we should get used to a global market of stocks that is no longer dominated by the United States.

And this is great news. Participation broadening around the world simply means more investment opportunities for us.

So I’m all about international these days. The first watchlist and chartbook I’m looking at most mornings is our international ETF universe. 

...
All Star Charts Premium

The Short Report (04-29-2025)

April 29, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ricardo Sarraf @nullcharts

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 4/29/25

April 29, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in USO.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!