This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
Nothing New
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
It’s been a while since we checked in on the US breadth scene, and for a good reason… there’s really nothing new to say.
Some US stocks are going up, but most are not.
Instead, our focus has been on expanding global breadth. We believe the burgeoning participation in international markets is constructive for US markets, specifically for cyclical areas.
But are we beginning to see any signs of breadth expansion domestically?
In today’s post, we’ll switch gears and turn our attention stateside to address participation among US stocks.
Let’s dive in!
Commodities Weekly: Mixed Signals from Metals
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Industrial metals have been one of the strongest subgroups within the commodity complex over the trailing year.
The parabolic advance in Steel futures off last year’s lows is an excellent illustration of this.
But lately, we see more and more commodities shift toward sideways trends in the intermediate-term. And lots of them are doing so trapped beneath overhead supply.
A quick glance at charts like crude oil or copper tells this story well — the last four months have been a chop fest for most.
Despite an overall trendless market, we’ve seen pockets of strength from a diverse array of contracts. Steel isn’t the only one. In recent months, we’ve covered breakouts in Coffee, Sugar, Livestock — and just last week, Uranium, to name a few.
And, of course, we continue to see plenty of strength from base metals.
But some of the more recent data suggest we should approach these contracts with more caution.
Let’s dive in and examine a few charts presenting mixed signals from this economically sensitive commodity space. [Read more…]
[Options Premium] Weekly Jam Session w/ Sean McLaughlin
[Options Premium] Exchange Value
The big indexes offered us a little pullback this week which has been helping us identify the true standouts — the stocks that are holding up best in a down tape. We’re all about relative strength at All Star Charts as it is one of the most reliable indicators for us. And true leaders really identify themselves when they are swimming against the current while markets are sliding.
So on days and weeks like this, we’re paying very close attention to the strongest sectors and keying in on the strongest stocks to see how they react.
Today, one those names is in the Capital Markets space where we’re seen tremendous strength this year.
Is It Time To Buy Small-Cap Tech?
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Thanks to everyone who participated in last week’s Mystery Chart.
We questioned whether this consolidation would resolve in the direction of the primary downtrend–in which case we would expect a break lower.
Or maybe buyers would step in and defend those former lows once again.
Despite the lack of bearish momentum readings, many of you wanted to sell on a break below support, citing the primary trend as a major deciding factor.
And that’s basically where our heads were, too, as it’s always easier to go with the trend.
So what are we selling? Or should I say… buying?
Defensive Stocks Stop Going Down
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridg
Money really likes to flow where it’s treated the best… and as far as sectors and even most industry groups go, there simply isn’t much alpha out there at the moment.
In analyzing relative trends, we’re always aware of how the overall stock market is performing against defensive assets.
In today’s post, we’re going to check in on those sectors investors pile into when seeking safety as opposed to positioning for risk.
Utilities, Real Estate, and Staples… the “bond proxy” groups. Let’s dive in.
Young Aristocrats (September 2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we’re turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.
We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are “stocks that pay you to make money.” Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
By adding our technical analysis to the mix, the Young Aristocrat setups give you the opportunity to own the best of the market’s future blue-chip winners before they become must-own household names.
Oftentimes, the strongest performers in this universe and even the Aristocrats themselves pay relatively small dividends. This is usually because the stock appreciation makes it tough to keep up with the payout–even for companies that consistently grow their yield in the double-digits! For this reason, we don’t have a minimum threshold for the dividend. What we’re really doing here is creating a list of quality stocks based on their ability to persistently grow their shareholder return.
And maybe the best part? This list is not just designed for long-term investors. Any kind of investor or trader can use this list as it helps generate ideas across all timeframes, even the short term. Remember, some of the most important filters we use for this list are momentum, relative strength, and proximity to new highs.
So let’s keep it real, these stocks are going up across all time horizons.
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