Here is the video from my BNN Bloomberg interview this week. We talk about the implications of a weaker US Dollar, including what that would do to stocks, emerging markets, metals and others. I’ve been waiting for it all year. But think about it. We’ve already seen some of the things we would expect to see in a weaker Dollar environment. Gold strong, for example, and an inability for the Euro to go lower. So for me, I think this Dollar fall is just getting started. [Read more…]
A lot of the jokes in my community begin and end with gold bugs. I can’t think of any group that has been so wrong for so long. You could have literally been in anything else the past 8 years and made money. It’s all good though. What goes around comes around. Gold will have its day again, and I think it could be around the corner.
The US Dollar has been a big focus of ours all year (see here, here and here). The implications of the US Dollar’s next move will be felt worldwide. I’ve been in the camp that the US Dollar Index below 98 is positive for stocks and that a drop in the Dollar will most likely coincide with a rotation into emerging markets and european equities. While the Dollar has remained below 98, it’s been more of a sideways range that anything else. But we may have just seen the beginning of this collapse.
Here’s why this is important: [Read more…]
One thing we know about all-time highs is that they are not evidence of a downtrend. With near-record pessimism towards stocks recently, it’s fun to watch the ones that are breaking out to all-time highs. I’m not really sure what everyone is so angry about, these long bases are slowly breaking out one by one, not breaking down.
Something we’ve been pointing to all along is that for the major indexes to take out resistance from the past 17 months, we need to see an expansion in participation to the upside. In other words, more stocks, sectors and indexes breaking out to all-time highs. This expansion of breadth is likely to lead and/or coincide with an upside resolution in indexes like the S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Global100 Index and many others. [Read more…]
This is the video recording of the June 2019 Conference Call.
It feels good to be back in the office listening to music and ripping through charts! This is something I love to do. The past few weeks were incredible. I met with a lot of smart people throughout Europe and I’m back with new perspective, new ideas and new friends. You can’t put a price tag on those experiences. When people ask me what they should invest in, I can’t help but answer with: yourself. Invest in what you’re doing and what you’re learning. I believe this to be true now more than ever.
The first thing that stands out to me as I work through my chartbooks is how little things have changed, particularly in the stock market. The S&P500 is up 1% since I left a month ago. The rangebound market we’ve been in continues to progress in the same direction, or lack thereof. In mid-May I pointed to the Global 100 as the chart that tells the stock story the best. At that point, we were looking at a 3rd test of overhead supply starting in January 2018. Fast forward a month and stocks are now attempting a 4th test. [Read more…]
Last week I was in London giving a presentation at the local chapter of the CMT Association. We had a great turnout and they asked a lot of really smart questions. I was not surprised at all by the high caliber of attendees, from Analysts to Portfolio Managers and even younger participants eager to learn. It was awesome all around.
Prior to the event I sat down with Alex Spiroglou to talk about how I first got into Technical Analysis and what a normal day at ASC Research looks like. This is the full video of that interview. [Read more…]
These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday June 19th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call: [Read more…]
Earlier this month I was invited to come speak at the Hellenic chapter of the CMT Association in Athens, Greece. We had a much bigger crowd that I expected. I’ve had the opportunity to speak at many of the chapters around the world, including all over Asia, North America and Europe. I felt this was one of the better Q&A Sessions we’ve had. We were able to get the audio so I wanted to share that with you today. Some of the audience questions were not as clear as we would like, so bear with us. Hope you enjoy! [Read more…]