There is no denying that Technology has been a leader over the past 18 months. It’s amazing how much this historic breakout in Tech was completely ignored in 2016 since U.S. elections are much sexier and help news people sell ads. “Forget the relative breakout in Tech, how does what Trump or Hillary said on the twitter today impact your portfolio?” You see the difference? We’re not here to entertain or sell ads to sponsors. We’re here to try and make money in the market.
In September of 2016 I was pounding the table about this monster 15-year base in Technology relative to the S&P500. There was no question that the path of least resistance was higher. As they say, the bigger the base, the higher in space. I encourage you to check out exactly what we were seeing at the time. Technology is up close to 50% since then while the S&P500 is up just about half that, 25%. So now the question is whether or not Technology, which has the largest weighting in the S&P500, is due for a breather, or does it still have room to run?