One of the best ways to be positioned over the past 2 months has been to be in Emerging Markets, not in U.S. Stocks. I’ve been pounding the table on this trade since January and it has really worked out in our favor. The big question today is: Now What? Does this thing keep going, or does the longer-term trend of the U.S. outperforming Emerging Markets resume in the second quarter? [Read more…]
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Our Focus Is On Japanese Yen and Ignoring Any Federal Reserve Commentary
- Which U.S. Stock Market Indexes Have Hit Our Upside Targets?
- What Do We Need To See To Get Short U.S. Stocks?
- The List Of Commodities That Are Now In Play
- Why Financials Will Keep Outperforming
- What Do Semiconductors and Industrials Have In Common?
- Which Sectors Are Benefiting Most From Higher Interest Rates?
[Premium] What Intermarket Analysis Is Suggesting About The Current Market Environment
Intermarket Day is one of my favorite days. Yes I’m a huge nerd. Deal with it!
This is when I go through many markets relative to each other. These markets include individual U.S. Sectors compared with the overall U.S. Stock market. We also look at other assets against each other like Bonds, Commodities and Currencies. We price Gold in other currencies, and change around denominators for both trade idea generation and also for informational purposes.
Here are some of the things that stood out from this week’s homework:
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Why Are Biotechs and Regional Banks Now On Our Radar?
- Why Did Everyone Miss This Monster Rally The Past 6 Weeks?
- Which Stock Market Indexes In the U.S. Will Perform Best This Month?
- How High Can U.S. Interest Rates Go and How Will That Affect Bonds?
- Our Upside Price Targets In Apple, Now Updated
- What Is The Most Important Thing To Watch In The Gold Market?
- What Else Should We Be Watching In Precious Metals?
- Our Favorite Trade To Profit From A Weakening U.S. Dollar
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Why Has Latin America Been the Best Place To Invest?
- What Will Further U.S. Dollar Weakness Do To Stocks?
- With Interest Rates Bouncing, What Do We Do With Bonds?
- The Consumer Staples Trade and Coca-Cola
- Gold Miners and Other Metals
- Will Developed Markets Catch Up With Emerging Market Stocks?
- U.S. Small & Micro-Caps vs U.S. Large-caps
- What Does This Strength In Transports Mean?
Bloomberg TV Appearance: Emerging Markets, Gold Miners & Energy
On Monday afternoon I was over at the Bloomberg headquarters in New York City to discuss markets with Joe Weisenthal, Alix Steel and Scarlet Fu. Every time I’ve been on a guest on this show I’ve had pretty much nothing but bad news to share as far as the stock market is concerned. In January, all of our downside objectives were achieved and I’ve really changed my tune. I think this strength we’ve seen in stocks over the past month continues, particularly the relative strength in emerging markets.
Here is the video in full: [Read more…]
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Why Emerging Markets Are Outperforming U.S. Stocks
- Did you Listen and Take Profits In Treasury Bonds Last Week?
- How To Make Money In Apple, Twitter, Yahoo and GoPro
- Which Developed Markets Should We Buy: Europe or Japan?
- Is It Time To Own China? Why?
- Which Stocks Will Lead the U.S. Stock Market Higher?
Spreadsheet Of The Week: Why Is The U.S. Underperforming By So Much?
This weekend I did my regular global macro review. This is when I go country by country analyzing the weekly and daily charts of all of the stock markets around the world. Each chart includes a momentum study (14-period RSI) and a 200 period moving average that we use to help with trend recognition. I trade indexes all over the world, simply because I can. Why wouldn’t I? [Read more…]
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