The way I learned it, “The bigger the base, the higher in space”. In other words, the longer prices consolidate in a narrow range, the more powerful the ultimate resolution. I think we have a good example of this type of behavior in the Industrial Sector. Today we’re breaking down why I think there is a lot of room to the upside for these guys. [Read more…]
U.S. Treasury Bonds have been in a beautiful uptrend for 35 years. This is nothing new. But within uptrends, we often see severe corrections that have presented very favorable risk vs reward opportunities in the past. I think today is one of those scenarios. Here are the details: [Read more…]
One of the things that I take most pride in is my ability to keep an open mind and consider every outcome. This goes for all markets, not just stocks. But today I have a solid if/then scenario that I think every U.S. stock market bull should be watching. If this particular index is above certain levels, not only do I see no reason to be bearish, but I think having above average long exposure is warranted. [Read more…]
Since late March and early April, most of the major stock market indexes around the world, U.S. included, consolidated in a sideways range. The dilemma/argument among my friends and I was in which direction would these consolidation resolve? As it turns, out, it has been to the upside. We’re not just seeing the S&P500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average breaking out to new highs, we’re seeing similar behavior around the world.
Today we’re looking at what I think is the most bullish chart on earth. [Read more…]
One of the biggest reasons why we’ve been hesitant to be bullish of stocks, particularly as an asset class, since early April is because of the severe underperformance from bank stocks. Not only do we need participation out of Financials during bull markets, but we need them to lead. Unfortunately, they’ve been doing the exact opposite, and dragging stock market indexes around the world lower.
Has something changed?
If you’re one of those people who blindly looks at the S&P500 and thinks stocks are in an uptrend, you can stop reading now and carry on with your rainbows and butterflies. In the real world, the one we live in, stocks have been falling hard for well over a year. Put down your large-cap weighted U.S. indexes for a hot second, and take a look at what’s going on. [Read more…]
When we talk about “the stock market”, some people are referring to the S&P500 or maybe the Dow Jones Industrial Average. But these are just 2 large-cap indexes in one country in the entire world. Cliché or not, this isn’t a stock market, it is a “market of stocks”. These come in all different sizes and countries around the world to collectively make up a “stock market”.
It’s interesting to compare markets around the world to each other to get an idea of where the relative strength lies and where the weakness might be. Today we’re taking a look at the S&P500 in the U.S. vs the Nikkei in Japan and the EuroStoxx50 in Europe. [Read more…]
Back in January, Energy Stocks put in their lows on both an absolute and relative basis. Whether you’re looking at the big Integrated Names like Exxon and Chevron, or the Services Companies like Schlumberger or Halliburton, or even the Explorers and Producers, they all bottomed in January, a month before Crude Oil finally put in its low. Energy stocks also bottomed first on a relative basis when compared with the S&P500.
Today we are looking at the current implications of this particular leadership in the stocks relative to the commodity and the direction in which they are heading: [Read more…]